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2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD

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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 09, 2019, 7:24 AM Post
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Eye Black said:
jjfanec said:
Right now Yelich, Davies, Moose and Guerra are probably the only guys who I think are outperforming expectations.

Over the past month (since April 5) Orlando Arcia is hitting .287 BA / .330 OBP / .435 SLG. Since this is the optimism thread I will say that .766 OPS is likely the new normal for Arcia, but I will acknowledge there is a chance he may currently be outperforming expectations with the bat.


True but I was really just taking the overall season. If we can take recent splits I would say there is no way Grandal hit as poorly as he has the last month - .218/.330/.346. For the overall season I think Arcia is right in line with what I expected


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 09, 2019, 7:51 AM Post
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Location: Milwaukee, WI
Eye Black said:
jjfanec said:
Right now Yelich, Davies, Moose and Guerra are probably the only guys who I think are outperforming expectations.

Over the past month (since April 5) Orlando Arcia is hitting .287 BA / .330 OBP / .435 SLG. Since this is the optimism thread I will say that .766 OPS is likely the new normal for Arcia, but I will acknowledge there is a chance he may currently be outperforming expectations with the bat.


Nope. Don't do that.


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 09, 2019, 8:12 AM Post
Posts: 1256
jjfanec said:
Eye Black said:
jjfanec said:
Right now Yelich, Davies, Moose and Guerra are probably the only guys who I think are outperforming expectations.

Over the past month (since April 5) Orlando Arcia is hitting .287 BA / .330 OBP / .435 SLG. Since this is the optimism thread I will say that .766 OPS is likely the new normal for Arcia, but I will acknowledge there is a chance he may currently be outperforming expectations with the bat.


True but I was really just taking the overall season. If we can take recent splits I would say there is no way Grandal hit as poorly as he has the last month - .218/.330/.346. For the overall season I think Arcia is right in line with what I expected


We are a sleeping giant, and when we awaken, we’re going to separate from every team in the NL except the dodgers, who we will beat, on our way to winning the series.


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 09, 2019, 9:01 AM Post
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Great little run here! We have some tough games coming up, so that was huge. Stay hot Brew Crew!


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 09, 2019, 9:19 AM Post
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RobDeer 45 said:
Great little run here! We have some tough games coming up, so that was huge. Stay hot Brew Crew!


The Brewers will be tested this weekend at Wrigley.

But they can make a huge statement if they win that series and take 6 or 7 of 10 on the road trip. Even 5-5 should position them well to finish the month out heading into a more favorable June schedule.


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 09, 2019, 7:44 PM Post
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Brandon Woodruff: Secret Ace?

Through 42.1 IP as a starter this season, Woodruff now has an 11.5 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 2.87 FIP, 3.32 xFIP. His success has been somewhat obscured by an inflated ERA (4.25) that has also dragged down his IP/GS.

But according to all advanced metrics he has been fantastic. The last Brewers pitcher to finish a season with 150+ IP and a lower FIP was Chris Bosio in 1987. Actually only three Brewers pitchers have ever had 150+ IP and a lower FIP (Bosio, 1988 Teddy Higuera, 2004 Ben Sheets). Woodruff so far is having a very similar season, including the unfairly elevated ERA, to 2011 Zack Greinke (3.83 ERA, 2.98 FIP).

With there being an outside chance that Jimmy Nelson comes back strong, with Davies and Anderson pitching closer to their 2017 forms, and with Gio Gonzalez looking decent so far, I think there is room for optimism in the starting rotation all of a sudden!


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 09, 2019, 7:47 PM Post
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*Edit* Ok in the above post I clearly screwed up the order of the "last" Brewers pitcher to have a lower FIP, but the point remains! [laughing]


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 09, 2019, 7:50 PM Post
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SRB said:
Brandon Woodruff: Secret Ace?

Through 42.1 IP as a starter this season, Woodruff now has an 11.5 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 2.87 FIP, 3.32 xFIP. His success has been somewhat obscured by an inflated ERA (4.25) that has also dragged down his IP/GS.

But according to all advanced metrics he has been fantastic. The last Brewers pitcher to finish a season with 150+ IP and a lower FIP was Chris Bosio in 1987. Actually only three Brewers pitchers have ever had 150+ IP and a lower FIP (Bosio, 1988 Teddy Higuera, 2004 Ben Sheets). Woodruff so far is having a very similar season, including the unfairly elevated ERA, to 2011 Zack Greinke (3.83 ERA, 2.98 FIP).

With there being an outside chance that Jimmy Nelson comes back strong, with Davies and Anderson pitching closer to their 2017 forms, and with Gio Gonzalez looking decent so far, I think there is room for optimism in the starting rotation all of a sudden!


Some may say that Greinke's ERA was very fair since he was kind of a weirdo who was honest-ish with the media. The capricious baseball Gods can be confusing to the laymen.


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 10, 2019, 6:33 PM Post
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I loooooove the quietness around here while winning. Let’s keep doing that!


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 13, 2019, 5:54 PM Post
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We're 6 games over and only two games back of the division lead.

Despite Travis Shaw's slow start
Despite Jesus Aguilar's slow start
Despite a brutal schedule so far
Despite missing the consistency of last year's bullpen

....and we haven't played 6 games versus the Marlins, who I'm convinced a Brewerfan.net team would give a game!


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 14, 2019, 12:40 AM Post
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In 2018 mke averaged 4.57 runs per game.
In 2019 mke is averaging 4.72 runs per game.

3-4-5 hitters are batting:
Sub .210 BA
Sub .295 OBP
Sub .670 OPS

Moose Grandal Braun Thames and Gamel are hitting well above those numbers. As are Woodruff and Chacin. This nonsense can not last.

The ERA is at 4.44 vs last years 3.65. However, it has dropped from 5.03 to 4.44 in the last 10 games. Jimmy Nelson and Chase Anderson are pitching in SA.

.9 run diff = playoffs.... currently at .28... still 5 games over .500 which is on pace for 90 wins and that shouldn't be the case. The ERA is crashing down and huge gains can be made in run production when 3-4-5 stabilize. 5 runs and 3.9 earned is possible and 1.1 run diff = 100 wins.


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 14, 2019, 7:53 AM Post
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If this is a struggling Brewers team... wait till they fire on all cylinders.


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 14, 2019, 8:27 AM Post
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clancyphile said:
If this is a struggling Brewers team... wait till they fire on all cylinders.


Yes, the pitching staff has been holding the fort the last couple weeks, with Cain’s emergence, and huira in the line-up, we should average 5+ runs a game moving forward.

And our pitching which has been good, with chase back this week and Nelson soon after will lead the NL in era from May 3 thru the playoffs.


Last edited by Brew crew 92 on May 14, 2019, 9:59 AM, edited 1 time in total.

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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 14, 2019, 8:37 AM Post
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Hiura comin' y'all


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 14, 2019, 10:44 AM Post
Posts: 1929
The Brewers just called up 1992 Cal Eldred.... oops I mean Keston Hiura.


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 14, 2019, 10:17 PM Post
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A lot of things have really gone wrong this year -- Aguilar, Shaw, Cain all in big slumps, Burnes didn't work out so far in the rotation, Freddy Peralta ERA over 6, no Nelson yet, and we'd still host a playoff game if the season ended today.


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 15, 2019, 6:20 AM Post
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adambr2 said:
A lot of things have really gone wrong this year -- Aguilar, Shaw, Cain all in big slumps, Burnes didn't work out so far in the rotation, Freddy Peralta ERA over 6, no Nelson yet, and we'd still host a playoff game if the season ended today.


Not only that they have done this while playing a brutal schedule. 31 of 44 games against teams 500 or above and another 6 against teams who are just 2 games under.


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 15, 2019, 6:21 AM Post
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Yes a lot of ups and downs tough April Schedule but we are right in there .
Hopefully Nelson can help once he returns and either Braun and Aguillar can get hot.
we are still leaving to many men on base for my liking but the starters have pitched well and Gio has been very efficient.


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 15, 2019, 6:55 AM Post
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Even in a hitless game for Yelich yesterday, seems like he was millimeters away from a 3-hit game with 2 homers.

Baseball Savant Exit Velocities/xBA:

1st inning flyout: 103.8 mph/.710
4th inning flyout: 106.8 mph/.360
8th inning groundout: 107.6 mph!!!/.780

He was scalding the ball yesterday but either just missed it or just hit it in the wrong spot.


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Offline  Re: 2019 BREWERS OPTIMISM THREAD
Posted: May 16, 2019, 2:28 PM Post
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1. Yelich is a freak
2. Pitching is a freak
3. Yelich is a freak

this team is so fun to watch!

Posted: July 10, 2014, 12:30 AM
PrinceFielderx1 Said:
If the Brewers don't win the division I should be banned. However, they will.


Last visited: September 03, 2014, 7:10 PM


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