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2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion

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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#21

Posted: April 03, 2019, 11:28 AM Post
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Out of the Park Baseball (OOTP) has their preseason predictions:

NL Central:

St. Louis: 87-75
Chicago: 85-77
Milwaukee: 83-79
Cincinnati: 79-83
Pittsburgh: 76-86



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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#22

Posted: April 04, 2019, 5:55 AM Post
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I realize it is far too early in the season to put any stock in these whatsoever, but regardless the current Baseball Prospectus Playoff Odds are a thing of beauty. Something to enjoy with a smile on the off day.


Image


Edit: The FanGraphs Playoff Odds aren’t quite as bullish on the Brewers just yet.


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#23

Posted: April 04, 2019, 1:48 PM Post
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Eye Black said:
I realize it is far too early in the season to put any stock in these whatsoever, but regardless the current Baseball Prospectus Playoff Odds are a thing of beauty. Something to enjoy with a smile on the off day.


Image


Edit: The FanGraphs Playoff Odds aren’t quite as bullish on the Brewers just yet.

What's the difference between playoff pct. and playoff pct. adj?


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#24

Posted: April 04, 2019, 3:05 PM Post
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RWeeksFan23 said:
What's the difference between playoff pct. and playoff pct. adj?

Adj. Playoff Pct [ Return To Top ]
The odds of a team reaching the Division Series round.

To find Adj. Playoff Pct, we multiply the team's Wild Card percentage by the odds of them winning the Wild Card play-in game, and add the odds of them winning their division.

reillymcshane said:
Remember what Yoda said:

"Cubs lead to Cardinals. Cardinals lead to dislike. Dislike leads to hate. Hate leads to constipation."


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#25

Posted: April 04, 2019, 6:56 PM Post
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Darvish with another bad start tonight.

but it's not like every guy suddenly forgot every piece of advice he gave


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#26

Posted: April 04, 2019, 7:17 PM Post
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And their bullpen completely implodes again.

but it's not like every guy suddenly forgot every piece of advice he gave


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#27

Posted: April 04, 2019, 7:22 PM Post
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82brewcrew82 said:
And their bullpen completely implodes again.


They went from Darvish to Edwards to Chatwood. That is a really expensive trainwreck


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#28

Posted: April 04, 2019, 7:24 PM Post
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jjfanec said:
82brewcrew82 said:
And their bullpen completely implodes again.


They went from Drvish to Edwards to Chatwood. That is a really expensive trainwreck

ERAs currently at 8.10, 45.00 and 13.50 respectively. We think we have pitching problems.

but it's not like every guy suddenly forgot every piece of advice he gave


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#29

Posted: April 04, 2019, 7:33 PM Post
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It appears that David Bell went the Joe Maddon school of bullpen management.

but it's not like every guy suddenly forgot every piece of advice he gave


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Online  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#30

Posted: April 04, 2019, 7:52 PM Post
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As bad as the cubs look, I fully expect them to win this weekend's series...because baseball

I hope to be pleasantly surprised by late Sunday afternoon


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#31

Posted: April 05, 2019, 6:38 AM Post
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By the end of the weekend the Brewers and Cubs could be separated in the standings by as many as 7.5 games or as few as 1.5 games.


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#32

Posted: April 05, 2019, 10:11 PM Post
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The Brewers 7-1 record and .875 winning percentage are both top in all of baseball. Never mind that it represents less than 1/20th of the season, it’s a great start!


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#33

Posted: April 06, 2019, 2:10 PM Post
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The job that Brody VanWagenen has done with the Mets line-up and bullpen is gonna get them into the playoffs. Line-up outside of cano is young and strong with my pick for ROY in Alonso. No team has a degrom. Familia and Diaz at the backend, only thing holding that team back is their manager. East is unreal.


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#34

Posted: April 06, 2019, 3:14 PM Post
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Watching Andrew Miller implode doesn't stink. So much for that Miller, Reyes and Hicks combo being un-hittable.

but it's not like every guy suddenly forgot every piece of advice he gave


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#35

Posted: April 13, 2019, 3:29 PM Post
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A windy day at Wrigley makes it even easier to see who’s on top of the NL Central standings.

Image


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#36

Posted: April 14, 2019, 10:59 AM Post
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Surprised as I looked at Standings today to see Cincy is 5-8 with a +10 run differential as a result of only 37 runs against. So less than 3runs a game given up thus far. Something to keep an eye on if they have some better pitching moving forward.


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#37

Posted: April 17, 2019, 6:32 AM Post
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Posted in the In-Game Thread as well:

The Cardinals are 1-5 versus the Brewers and 8-2 versus the rest of their schedule.

The Brewers are 10-2 versus their NL Central rivals so far.

There are still 64 games to play against the four others in the Central, but a good start!


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#38

Posted: April 17, 2019, 9:31 PM Post
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Tampa GM of the year. Trades Archer last year for Tyler Glasnow and Austin Meadows. Glasnow 4gms 4-0 1.13 ERA 24IP. Meadows I believe was .350 BA (yep) combined 2.1 BRef WAR currently. This is Max Scherzer in the making Pittsburgh dealt to TB who,ll get 5years years of Ace and a huge trade off better than Archer.

Just remember Glasnow's time at Pitts. Was near -2 WAR value when you're fretting this young trio of Brewer Starters. It can be like Yelich's breakout year last year when the switch gets turned and they get it.


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#39

Posted: April 18, 2019, 5:56 AM Post
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brewcrewdue80 said:
Tampa GM of the year. Trades Archer last year for Tyler Glasnow and Austin Meadows. Glasnow 4gms 4-0 1.13 ERA 24IP. Meadows I believe was .350 BA (yep) combined 2.1 BRef WAR currently. This is Max Scherzer in the making Pittsburgh dealt to TB who,ll get 5years years of Ace and a huge trade off better than Archer.

Just remember Glasnow's time at Pitts. Was near -2 WAR value when you're fretting this young trio of Brewer Starters. It can be like Yelich's breakout year last year when the switch gets turned and they get it.

I’ll forever believe that if the Pirates hadn’t swept the Brewers in that 5-game series in July they would have never made the Archer trade. The recency bias of that series made them believe they were something that they clearly weren’t. It really seemed like they got caught up in the emotion of wanting to be relevant heading into the last couple of months of the season, and they made a trade that from the moment it was finalized had a high potential to haunt them for a really long time.


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Offline  Re: 2019 Standings and Playoff Races Discussion
#40

Posted: April 18, 2019, 6:35 AM Post
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Eye Black said:
brewcrewdue80 said:
Tampa GM of the year. Trades Archer last year for Tyler Glasnow and Austin Meadows. Glasnow 4gms 4-0 1.13 ERA 24IP. Meadows I believe was .350 BA (yep) combined 2.1 BRef WAR currently. This is Max Scherzer in the making Pittsburgh dealt to TB who,ll get 5years years of Ace and a huge trade off better than Archer.

Just remember Glasnow's time at Pitts. Was near -2 WAR value when you're fretting this young trio of Brewer Starters. It can be like Yelich's breakout year last year when the switch gets turned and they get it.

I’ll forever believe that if the Pirates hadn’t swept the Brewers in that 5-game series in July they would have never made the Archer trade. The recency bias of that series made them believe they were something that they clearly weren’t. It really seemed like they got caught up in the emotion of wanting to be relevant heading into the last couple of months of the season, and they made a trade that from the moment it was finalized had a high potential to haunt them for a really long time.


I'm still bitter about the Game 5 no-rain delay call. That was so outrageous.


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