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Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 17, 2020, 7:19 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 17 - Padres 7, Brewers 2

Pitching matchup was Brandon Woodruff versus Chris Paddack. Both pitchers have been somewhat disappointing this year, especially Paddack, who entered the game with a miserable 6.32 ERA.

Woodruff pitched pretty well but continues to struggle with the long ball. He only allowed two runs in five inning, but both runs came on solo home runs (Eric Hosmer and Tommy Pham). Alex Claudio came into the game in the fifth inning. Jurickson Profar and Franchy Cordero both singled, and Claudio left the inning with two outs and runners on first and third. David Phelps came into the game only needing to get the one out, but instead he allowed a single to Hosmer and double to Paddack allowing the two inherited runners to score. I was surprised that Drew Rasmussen wasn't recalled before this game, and that decision may have cost the Brewers if this had been a closer loss. J.P. Feyereisen entered the game in the seventh, allowed a walk to Trent Grisham and then a 2-run home run to Fernando Tatis Jr. Hosmer hit his second homer of the game in the eighth inning off of Ray Black.

Paddack pretty much cruised for much of this game. He retired the first 9 batters he faced. The Brewers got both of their runs in the seventh inning on an Eric Sogard single that scored Ryan Braun and Omar Narvaez.

Keston Hiura got the golden sombrero in this game and it's getting to the point where he may need to be benched. He is now down to a .292 OBP and .695 OPS on the season, and his July numbers have been especially pitiful, .163/.180/.204/.384. At the very least, he should be moved down in the order until he gets it going again.

The red-hot Pirates win again which knocks the Brewers into third place. The Cardinals lead the division, the Pirates are 1/2 game back, the Brewers are 1 1/2 games back and the Reds are 5 games back.

In other league news, Astros first baseman Yordan Alvarez twisted an ankle and is listed as day-to-day for two weeks. Alvarez had a huge start to the season and currently has a .282/.394/.533/.947 slash line with 25 home runs and 71 RBIs.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 18, 2020, 9:41 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 18 - Padres 4, Brewers 3

The Brewers sign Wade Miley to a minor league contract. Miley was released by the Reds on the 14th. He had done well in the majors...43 innings, 3.35 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 4.98 FIP...but for whatever reason the Reds weren't happy and cut him loose, even with another year left on his contract. I will say his ratings aren't very good, so maybe the game just doesn't like his future outlook. Miley has been assigned to the Arizona Blue team which is a pretty standard practice for the game. He'll probably get bumped to a higher level after a couple of appearances. Should be a pretty good insurance policy for the Brewers, although based on the game ratings I'd much rather see Eric Lauer, who probably should be on the 26-man roster anyway.

Pitching matchup in today's game was Corbin Burnes versus Dinelson Lamet.

The Brewers started the scoring in the second inning when Brock Holt knocked in Justin Smoak on a single. The Brewers had runners on first and third with nobody out after the Holt single, but couldn't score another run in the inning.

Burnes breezed through the first two innings. The Padres loaded the bases in the third inning, but Burnes got Manny Machado to ground out on a weakly hit ball to end the inning.

The Padres scored all four of their runs in the fifth inning. Pitcher Jacob Nix led off the inning with a single on a 1-2 pitch. Tommy Pham tried to cross the Brewers up by bunting on an 0-1 pitch but it didn't work and he bunted into a force out at second base. Trent Grisham came up and hit a 1-2 pitch for an opposite-field line drive home run that got just within the foul pole to give the Padres a 2-1 lead. Fernando Tatis Jr. was the next man up and he drew a walk. Chris Lee relieved Burnes. Manny Machado came up and walked. In perhaps what was the most crucial play in the game, Tatis Jr. and Machado pulled off a double steal. Franchy Cordero then singled, knocking in both base runners to give the Padres a 4-1 advantage.

The Brewers scored their final two runs in the sixth inning. Jacob Nix still on the mound for the Padres. Smoak and Luis Urias were the first two hitters and both flew out. Brock Holt singled. Ben Gamel then singled, and Franchy Cordero threw the ball away when trying to cut down Holt who was trying to go from first to third on the play. That allowed Holt to score and Gamel to advance to second. Manny Pina then singled to score Gamel, cutting the Padres lead to 4-3. Avisail Garcia came up as a pinch-hitter and hit a weak looping-liner that Machado caught to end the inning.

The Brewers did have a chance to tie the game in the ninth inning. Andres Munoz was on the hill for the Padres. Omar Narvaez pinch-hit and hit a hard single to right. He then advanced to second on a wild pitch. Man on second, nobody out. Lorenzo Cain struck out for the first out of the inning, his fourth strikeout of the day. Drew Pomeranz came into the ballgame. Pomeranz has been awful for the Padres and I was surprised to see him enter in this situation (5.63 ERA, 2.10 WHIP, 4.14 FIP). However, Pomeranz was good on this day as he got pinch-hitter Jedd Gyorko to fly out on a medium hit ball to centerfield and then struck out Keston Hiura looking to end the ballgame.

Burnes has done a good job of limiting runs but the pitch count is still a bit of problem. 94 pitches in only 4 1/3 innings in this game, previous start he left with 82 pitches in just 3 1/3 innings.

The loss drops the Brewers back to .500. The Cardinals win, so the Brewers are 2 1/2 games back in the NL Central.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 18, 2020, 10:05 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
So after the Miley signing, I went to look at the free agent list to see what other veterans might be floating out there. This is pretty much mandatory if you are managing a team, but I've pretty much ignored this list for much of the season since I'm just an observer (only three exceptions so far that I can remember). I have been looking at the trading block every couple of days just to see who the Brewers might trade for (and, of course, they haven't made a trade so far)...but other than that haven't been paying much attention other than the Brewer games, standings, Brewer transaction list and league news.

So I am looking at the free agent list, and there sits ex-Dodger reliever Pedro Baez. Baez from 2017-2019 = 190 innings, 2.98 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 3.72 FIP, 0.9 HR/9, 3.6 BB/9, 9.2 K/9. Three year track record....excellent across the board.

So what has Baez done in 2020 to make him a member of the free agent market? 40 innings, 2.48 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 3.47 FIP, 1.1 HR/9, 2.7 BB/9, 11 K/9. There is no injury listed in the log. His game ratings look pretty good. He was released on June 28.

I'm not going to do it, but I'm really tempted to cheat and put him on the Brewer's roster. I do think OOTP is a really good game overall, but these little "oversights" like this are a bit annoying. No way a player like this should sit on the free agent market for this length of time.


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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 19, 2020, 9:15 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 19 - Padres 4, Brewers 3 (11 innings)

The Brewers squander one of the best performances by a starting pitcher all year and suffer another frustrating loss.

Brent Suter took the mound for the Brewers and really wasn't challenged until the eighth inning. That's right, a Brewer starting pitcher actually pitched into the eighth inning. The Padres had men on first and second in the first inning and Suter got Jurickson Profar to weakly ground out to end the threat. That was the last Padre baserunner to reach second base until the eighth inning.

The Brewers scored two runs in the second inning off of ex-Brewer Zach Davies. Luis Urias led off the inning with a ground out. Brock Holt singled and then Ben Gamel doubled. Brent Suter came up and grounded out with the infield drawn in, preventing Holt from scoring. Lorenzo Cain came up with 2 outs and 2 runners in scoring position, and hit a 1-1 pitch for a line drive single to right-center to score both runners. Sogard hit a weak grounder back to Davies to end the inning.

The Brewers then got a gift run in the seventh inning. With runners on first and third, Padre catcher Francisco Mejia tried to pick Omar Narvaez off of first base and threw the ball into right field, allowing Sogard to score from third. The only reason Sogard was on third base was because a wild pitch from earlier in the inning. This put the Brewers up 3-0 and things were looking really good.

Suter went to the mound to start the eighth and Eric Hosmer led off the inning with a home run. Wil Myers pinch-hit and doubled on the first pitch he saw. Tommy Pham was the next hitter, he grounded out but Myers advanced to third on the play. Adrian Houser came into the ballgame. Trent Grisham came to the plate and doubled to cut the score to 3-2. Houser then struck out Fernando Tatis Jr. and got Manny Machado on a ground out to preserve the lead.

There was no funny business on this day as Craig Counsell went straight to Josh Hader to start the ninth inning. Nelson Cruz pinch-hit and struck out looking. Yasiel Puig came up and doubled to left field. Mejia was the next batter and flew out weakly to left field. Hosmer ripped a 1-0 pitch for a single to right-center that scored Puig and tied the game. Hader struck out Greg Garcia to send the game to extra innings.

Manny Machado led off the bottom of the eleventh and hit 3-2 pitch from Devin Williams for a 345 foot home run that barely cleared the wall down the left field line. Brewers get swept and now face a three-game series on the road against the Dodgers.

The Cardinals won their ballgame. The Pirates are 2 1/2 games back, the Brewers are 3 1/2 games back and the Reds are 5 games back.

Pretty notable trade made-
Dodgers get - RHP - Trevor Bauer (116 innings, 4.19 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 4.27 FIP)
Reds get - RF - D.J. Peters (24 years old, in AA - 393 plate appearances, .292/.405/.495/.900), RF - Rolando Lebron (22 years old, in R - 7 plate appearances, .000/.000/.000/.000), C - Jefferson Valladares (18 years old, in R - 59 plate appearances, .214/.254/.500/.754)
Walker Buehler is out for two months with a torn triceps and David Price is out for three weeks with shoulder inflammation. Brusdar Graterol is in the rotation but has gone on the injury report twice this year (back tightness, strained forearm). So despite the huge stockpile of starting pitching for the Dodgers, the need was there to pick up another. I think D.J. Peters is a bit under-rated in the game. He's not in the top 500 prospects but is the top non-top 500 prospect in the Reds organizational list. He probably should be right around 300. There is raw power there but contact issues, if he gets on base enough the potential is there for him to be a pretty good major leaguer. That park in Cincinnati could be a wonderful fit for him. The other two players look like long shots to reach the majors. I thought Bauer and Mike Minor were the two most attractive pitchers on the market that are healthy, and Minor has pitched poorly recently. Really would have liked to see the Brewers in on this as an equivalent price (if going by the prospect ratings in the game) probably would have been something like Tyrone Taylor and a couple guys way down the list.

Reds pitcher Sonny Gray is done for the season (shoulder inflammation). He had missed all of June, came back and made three starts and now is being shutdown for the rest of the year. Gray finishes the season with 66 2/3 innings, 4.05 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 4.80 FIP. The Reds rotation is Luis Castillo, Tyler Mahle, Lucas Sims (follower), Jose De Leon and Sal Romano.

Nationals pitcher Max Scherzer is still having problems with a sore wrist and is now expected to miss an additional four days.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 20, 2020, 7:42 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 20 - Dodgers 6, Brewers 3

I had been thinking the Brewers would be on the wrong side of a horribly lopsided trade that would make me lose all interest in the simulation. A Brewer trade has finally been made and I’m happy to say the Brewers were the beneficiary of what looks like a terrible deal for the Royals.

Brewers get – RHP – Ian Kennedy (34 innings, 2.65 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 3.86 FIP), LHP – Daniel Lynch (23 years old, in AAA – 76 2/3 innings, 5.05 ERA, 1.47 FIP, 6.24 FIP), $2,887,500
Royals get – C – David Freitas (40 plate appearances, .167/.250/.333/.583)

Kennedy is ridiculously overpaid at 16.5 million this season. He is a free agent at the end of the year. There is roughly 6.417 million remaining on the contract, so the Royals are retaining $2,887,500 of the deal and the Brewers are paying Kennedy $3,529,167 for the next 2 1/2 months of work. He’s been pretty good this year, and will be a solid bullpen contributor if that continues. Lynch is rated just outside the top 100 prospects list (#109) but has been terrible this year. Outside of the 5.05 ERA/6.24 FIP he’s posted in AAA, he has also thrown 25 innings in AA and had an 8.28 ERA/4.91 FIP at that level. Could it be that Kansas City doesn’t think Lynch will progress any further and are just looking to dump as much of Kennedy’s remaining contract as possible? I guess that’s what one would have to think if trying to find reason in this trade. Kennedy will likely be on the 26-man roster for Tuesday’s game. Like Wade Miley, Lynch has initially been assigned to the Arizona Blue squad but expect him to move to a higher level within a few days.

Freddy Peralta took the hill versus Trevor Bauer, who is making his Dodger debut.

The Dodgers scored the first two runs of the game in the second inning when Corey Seager and A.J. Pollock hit back-to-back solo home runs. Peralta didn't have much of a problem with the rest of the Dodgers lineup outside of these home runs. He pitched 5 innings, allowed 4 hits with 1 walk and 7 strikeouts.

The Brewers tied the game in the fifth when Lorenzo Cain singled home Justin Smoak and Brock Holt.

The game-deciding half-inning was the bottom of the sixth. Ray Black relieved Peralta. Black had a terrible outing in which he walked Cody Bellinger, allowed a single to Mookie Betts and then hit Joc Pederson in the head with a pitch. Pederson had to leave the ballgame and is listed as day-to-day for 1-2 weeks with a concussion. Craig Counsell pulled Black and put J.P. Feyereisen into the game. Will Smith came to the plate, and hit a 393 foot grand slam to right-center field on the first pitch of the at-bat (seems like we've seen this a lot recently).

Jedd Gyorko hit a solo home run off of Blake Treinen in the seventh inning to make the score 6-3. The Brewers had a chance in the ninth. Kenley Jansen, who is having an excellent season, apparently was unavailable to pitch having thrown in three of the last four days. Dave Roberts went to Caleb Ferguson to pitch the ninth. Luis Urias led off with a single, and the Smoak drew a walk to bring the tying run to the plate. Counsell pinch-hit Ryan Braun for Brock Holt, and Braun got behind 0-2 and then grounded into a double-play which just about killed any chance the Brewers had. Ben Gamel then pinch-hit and ended the game with a strikeout.

Fifth loss in a row for the Brewers and the record drops to 48-50. They are still only 3 1/2 games back. The Cardinals in first, the Pirates are 2 games back and the Reds are 4 1/2 games back.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 21, 2020, 7:34 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 21 - Dodgers 5, Brewers 2

Transaction notes-
Ian Kennedy placed on the 26-man roster, Chris Lee designated for assignment and placed on waivers
Wade Miley promoted to AAA
Daniel Lynch promoted to AA
Jacob Nottingham promoted to AAA
I thought the Rasmussen/Feyereisen yo-yo would come to an end with the acquisition of Ian Kennedy, but instead Chris Lee gets DFA'ed. [angry] Rasmussen started a game for San Antonio on Sunday, it was his first MiLB appearance April 19, so maybe he will stay in AAA for awhile. Wade Miley got the call to AAA, he's been put in the bullpen. The Brewers are down to 2 catchers on the 40-man roster with the trade of David Freitas. The AAA catchers are Jacob Nottingham, Tuffy Gosewisch and James Keller. Keller is a recent signing out of independent ball. Would have to think that Nottingham would be the replacement if Omar Narvaez or Manny Pina is injured.

The pitching matchup for today's game was Josh Lindblom versus Brusdar Graterol. Lindblom has pitched well lately, and Graterol entered this game with a 2.14 ERA and a 3.14 FIP. Gavin Lux and Will Smith got the day off, which made the bottom half of the Dodger lineup rather weak, making me think the Brewers had a good chance in this one.

The Brewers scored the game's first run in the second inning. Cain led off with a walk, and Braun ended up with a sacrifice when trying for a bunt single. Keston Hiura came up and doubled in Cain.

Lindblom ran into a minor jam in the fifth inning, but otherwise was cruising right along. He got the first two outs in the sixth, but then Cody Bellinger and Mookie Betts hit back-to-back solo home runs to give the Dodgers a 2-1 lead.

Ian Kennedy made his Brewer debut in the seventh. He got Tyler White on an easy fly ball to centerfield, Enrique Hernandez on a pop out to second, and Austin Barnes on a weak fly ball to centerfield for an easy 3-up, 3-down inning.

Kennedy came back out in the eighth and gave up a single to the pinch-hitting Chris Taylor. Ray Black came into the ballgame and, with the trouble the Brewers have had with inherited runners recently, I figured Taylor would very likely score. It's didn't take long as Justin Turner doubled on a 0-1 pitch to bring Taylor all the way around the bases for the Dodger's third run. A.J. Pollock was the next hitter and singled to score Turner. Cody Bellinger was walked and that was the end for Black. Alex Claudio came into the game. Mookie Betts singled to load the bases. Corey Seager came up and was the first out as he struck out. Tyler White came up and hit a fly ball to center that was deep enough to score Pollock and give the Dodgers a 5-1 lead. Enrique Hernandez came up and singled, but fortunately Ryan Braun threw out Bellinger at the plate to end the inning.

At least the Brewers made it a bit interesting in the ninth. Blake Treinen was on the hill for the Dodgers. Manny Pina was the first batter up and he struck out. Brock Holt then reached base on a Hernandez error, then advanced to second base on a wild pitch. Cain was the next batter and he struck out. Ryan Braun came up and doubled in Holt. This put the tying run in the on-deck circle so Kenley Jansen came into the ballgame. Hiura was the first batter he faced and he walked him on five pitches. Avisail Garcia came to the plate as the tying run but Jansen struck him out to end the ballgame.

The Brewers have now lost 6 straight games. The Cardinals are in first place, the Pirates are 3 back, the Brewers fall to 4 1/2 back and the Reds are 5 1/2 back.

In other league news, Reds relief pitcher Robert Stephenson has a sore elbow and is listed as day-to-day for two weeks. Stephenson had a pretty good season last year but has struggled in 2020 - 33 innings, 5.18 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, 4.66 FIP.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 22, 2020, 6:51 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 21 - Dodgers 5, Brewers 2

Pitching matchup for today's game was Brandon Woodruff versus Clayton Kershaw. I thought Kershaw showed signs of age last year, but his BB/9 (1.4) and K/9 (11.5) have improved this year, resulting in a 3.47 FIP. With Woodruff pitching much better lately (2.74 ERA in July), this one had the look of being a close, low-scoring game.

Dodgers chipped away at Woodruff and scored a single run in the first and second inning. Corey Seager singled to score Gavin Lux in the first, and Chris Taylor scored an a Austin Barnes sacrifice fly in the second.

Meanwhile, the Brewers were getting runners on base but couldn't push any across the plate. 7 runners left on base in the first 5 innings with no runs scored. The Brewer offense finally broke through in the sixth inning. Omar Narvaez led off with a single. Kershaw was at 98 pitches, so Dave Roberts went to the pen and put Addison Reed in the ballgame. Luis Urias singled, and then Justin Smoak walked to load the bases with nobody out. Jedd Gyroko hit a weak fly ball to shallow right field for the first out. Brandon Woodruff came up and hit a fly ball to centerfield, deep enough to score Narvaez and advance Urias to third base. Lorenzo Cain was the next batter and walked, once again loading the bases. Avisail Garcia then singled to score Urias and tie the game at 2. Keston Hiura was the next batter and he struck out to end the inning. Hiura didn't come through here, but he finished the game with a double and 2 walks and it's the best offensive day he's had in awhile.

The game was still tied at 2 entering the bottom of the eighth inning. Counsell decided to start the inning with the man with the 8+ ERA, Adrian Houser. Cody Bellinger was the first batter and he walked. Mookie Betts came up and singled, advancing Bellinger to second base. Corey Seager struck out swinging for the first out. Houser then left the game with an undisclosed injury, the information was listed as "Pending..." after the game which can be a bad sign. Counsell decided to go with Devin Williams. The first batter to face Williams was Will Smith, and he walked, loading the bases. Chris Taylor came up and walked, scoring Bellinger and giving the Dodgers a 3-2 lead. Enrique Hernandez came up and walked, putting the Dodgers up 4-2. A.J. Pollock pinch-hit, watched 4 straight balls go by him as Williams walked in this third run in a row. David Phelps came into the ballgame, got Austin Barnes to hit into a force play at home and then struck out Justin Turner to end the inning with no further damage. Kenley Jansen came into the ballgame in the ninth and logged his 29th save of the season.

Another frustrating ending. IMO the talk should be about Devin Williams and exactly why he has been on the roster over the last two months? He does have a pretty remarkable, eye-popping 14.2 K/9 which is probably what saves him. But his BB/9 is a laughable 9.3, which is more bad than the K/9 is good. He also hasn't avoided giving up the base hits, and now has a WHIP of 2.02. One of the more interesting team statistics is that the Brewer pitchers have totaled 1001 strikeouts this season, which is second in the NL. But as we all know, overall the pitching has been bad. 12th in runs allowed and 13th in ERA.

I haven't talked too much about pitcher win/lose this year. Williams is the obvious goat in this game but Adrian Houser is the pitcher credited with the lose. That puts his season W-L at 2-12. We'll wait to see the seriousness of the injury, but frankly just about any replacement would figure to be an upgrade. 8.68 ERA, 1.86 WHIP, 5.87 FIP, opponent slash line of .325/.403/.573/.976...it doesn't get any worse than that.

Thankfully this 6 game west coast trip is over. It figured to be tough, but 0-6 and getting outscored 31-15 was even worse than anticipated. Offense is pretty much dead at this point. Thankfully Christian Yelich's injury time is only listed as 1 more day, so he could be back on Friday or a couple games later if he has a short rehab assignment. At least the schedule is looking better. Day off tomorrow and then the next 16 games all come against NL Central opponents and there is obviously no great team in that bunch (and the three games after those 16 games comes against the Marlins). A good chance to make up a bunch of ground.

Cardinals in first place, the Pirates are 3 games back and the Reds have moved into a third place tie with the Brewers at 5 1/2 games back.

Trade made-
Rays get C - James McCann (77 plate appearances, .294/.377/.544/.921)
White Sox get - RHP - Caleb Sampen (23 years old, in AA - 35 1/3 innings, 2.29 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 3.49 FIP), 3B - Kevin Padlo (24 years old, in AAA - 273 plate appearances, .286/.401/.551/.951), RHP-Alexis Pichardo (17 years old, in R - 28 innings, 4.82 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 3.56 FIP)
Sampen goes into the White Sox top prospect list at #10, Padlo is listed just outside the top 30 (#34) and Pichardo seems like an alright lottery ticket type.

Mets starting pitcher Marcus Stroman has suffered a flexor-pronator strain and will miss 2 weeks. Fortunately for the Mets, Jacob deGrom has just about finished his rehab assignment and will be back on the 26-man roster within the next couple of days.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 23, 2020, 6:52 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 23 - scheduled day off

Roster move made-
Christian Yelich activated from the DL and put on 26-man roster, Ben Gamel optioned to AA
The Brewer offense has been so mediocre lately that they are not going to waste Yelich at-bats on a rehab assignment. Keon Broxton was called up on May 14th. So he's been with the club for over 2 months and has only gotten into 7 games and has a total of 5 plate appearances. Yet he stays, likely only because of centerfield defense, and the guy with the .998 OPS gets sent to AAA?

26 man roster-
Rotation = Brandon Woodruff, Corbin Burnes, Brent Suter, Freddy Peralta, Josh Lindblom
Bullpen = Josh Hader (closer), Adrian Houser - injured, information pending (setup), Devin Williams (setup), Alex Claudio (middle), Ray Black (middle), David Phelps (middle), Ian Kennedy (middle), J.P. Feyereisen (long)
Catchers = Omar Narvaez, Manny Pina
Infielders = Justin Smoak, Keston Hiura, Eric Sogard, Luis Urias, Brock Holt, Jedd Gyorko
Outfielders = Christian Yelich, Lorenzo Cain, Avisail Garcia, Ryan Braun, Keon Broxton

DL = Corey Knebel (torn ucl, out 12 months)

Other 40 man roster players (35 players)-
Pitchers = Drew Rasmussen, Chris Lee (on waivers), Eric Yardley
Infielders = Orlando Arcia, Ryon Healy, Ronny Rodriguez (elbow strain, out for 2 weeks)
Outfielders = Ben Gamel, Tyrone Taylor

In other league news, Baltimore reliever Hunter Harvey has shoulder inflammation and will be sidelined for 4 months, bringing his season to an end. Harvey had 18 2/3 MLB innings this year, and had posted a 4.82 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 3.82 FIP. He missed a couple months earlier in the season with elbow tendinitis. Pretty disappointing for the Orioles as his potential ratings, and status as a former first round pick, make him one of the team's building blocks for the future.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 23, 2020, 6:58 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
Just noticed that I forgot to sim through the Thursday games before posting these. The Cardinals and Reds both played and won, so the Brewers are 6 games back and have dropped a 1/2 game behind the Reds and are in fourth place. I'm too lazy to go back and post new screenshots.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 24, 2020, 8:09 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
So it's time to figure out what to do with this now that real baseball is here. I'm planning on going for at least one more week to see where things stand after the trade deadline. Note that the trade deadline in the game isn't like the trade deadline in real life, at least not in past versions of the game. There probably won't be a huge flurry of activity in the last couple of days, but it will probably be like 5 trades spread over the final seven days. I know I will continue to do a daily sim, but not sure if it's really worth posting anything at that point and waste the time and bandwidth when doing so.

July 24 - Pirates 16, Brewers 9

Adrian Houser has a strained oblique, has been put on the DL and is expected to miss five weeks. Drew Rasmussen has been recalled from AAA. Rasmussen got one appearance in while in San Antonio but that was on the 19th so he was available for today's game. Chris Lee has cleared waivers and been assigned to AAA.

I was anticipating a big bounce-back after the terrible west coast trip. Christian Yelich is back, and the Brewers had a 5-1 record against Pittsburgh. And frankly the Pirates have looked like last place quality in those six games. Then four games against the Cardinals, I would have predicted a nice little 5-2 run to get the Brewers to just 1 game under .500 heading into a three game series against a terrible Cub team.

However, as you can see by the final score, the Brewer pitching was a complete disaster. The pitching matchup was Trevor Williams, who has really struggled recently (9.15 ERA in July), against Corbin Burnes. Williams allowed 6 runs in 2 2/3 innings, but was still the better starter on this day. As far as my statement that almost anybody would be better than Houser...well Rasmussen was his replacement...Rasmussen entered this game with the bases loaded, allowed all three of those guys to score and then surrendered another three runs on top of that. The last four Brewer relievers that were used combined for 4 1/3 innings of scoreless baseball, which just gives you an idea of how bad the pitching was during the first five innings.

And to top it all off, Alex Claudio, who hasn't pitched very well but at least can (or previously had been able to) pitch pretty much everyday, had to be removed from the ballgame after the trainer examined his elbow. No word on the injury after the game but there could be a DL stint coming in the near future.

At least the Brewer offense looked good. Yelich had 2 doubles in his return. Keston Hiura had 3 hits and the ball seemed to be jumping off his bat, it was his first three-hit performance since June 17. Even Keon Broxton hit a pinch-hit home run. He's been with the club for over 2 months and this is only his second hit in those 2+ months (only was his sixth plate appearance).

The Cardinals win again. The Pirates are now 3 games back, the Reds are 6 1/2 games back and the Brewers are 7 games back.

At 5 games under .500, and seemingly no way to fix this pitching staff, have to wonder if the Brewers can sell off some pieces with the trade deadline only 1 week away?

In other league news, White Sox ace pitcher Lucas Giolito has a minor shoulder problem and is listed as day-to-day for one week. Giolito has been even better than he was last season - 94 2/3 innings, 2.66 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 2.93 FIP, 11.5 K/9.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 25, 2020, 9:13 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 25 - Brewers 3, Pirates 0

The 8-game losing streak comes to an end.

Roster move made-
Alex Claudio placed on the 60-day DL and removed from the 40-man roster, Alec Bettinger placed on the 26-man roster

The word is back on Alex Claudio, torn UCL and out for 11 months. Considering he'll miss half of next year, it's pretty likely that Claudio's time as a Brewer has come to an end. Guess he just couldn't keep up the ridiculous pace of his usage in the game (68 appearances in 101 games, was on pace to appear in 109 games). Claudio finishes the season with 53 innings, 5.09 ERA, 1.72 WHIP, 3.93 FIP. Surprise move that Alec Bettinger is the pitcher that gets the call to the majors, I figured it would be Chris Lee as the lefty would replace another lefty. Bettinger's numbers in AAA = 19 starts, 94 2/3 innings, 4.37 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 4.85 FIP, 16 home runs, 21 walks, 100 strikeouts. That home run number is troublesome, but the BB/K ratio is pretty good. He has been installed as the long reliever, and the last time he pitched was July 22. Josh Hader is the only lefty in the bullpen.

As far as today's game, Mitch Keller versus Brent Suter. Keller has shifted into high-gear and is looking like the real deal for the Pirates. He had an ERA of 9 after his fifth start which happened on May 2. His May ERA was 4.05, his June ERA was 0.92 and his July ERA is 2.45. After this game his season numbers are: 3.15 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 3.56 FIP. Brent Suter's last start may have been the best start for the Brewers all year, so this one had the look of being a pretty good pitching matchup.

And that's exactly what it was. Christian Yelich hit a 2-run homer off of Keller in the fourth, and Luis Urias hit a solo home run off of Richard Rodriguez in the seventh. That was it for the scoring. Suter was masterful. This may be the first time all year that I was upset to see Hader come into the ballgame. There didn't appear to be any reason for it. Suter was only at 88 pitches are rolling right along, would have loved to see him throw a complete game shutout and it certainly looked like he was going to do it. Suter retired the last seven batters he faced and the Pirates never even got a runner to second base. Looks like Freddy Peralta has legitimate competition for the title of "team's number one starter."

Cards lose. The Pirates are 3 games back, the Reds are 5 1/2 games back and the Brewers are 6 games back.

In other league news, Reds relief pitcher Cody Reed has suffered a torn flexor tendon in his elbow and will miss the next 14 months. Reed was having a pretty good season- 36 2/3 innings, 3.68 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 3.32 FIP. The Reds pitching staff has become a complete mess with injuries and trades. Rotation is now Luis Castillo, Tyler Mahle, Lucas Sims (follower), Tejay Antone (follower, has thrown 1/3 of an inning in major league career), Packy Naughton (has never pitched in the majors). Bullpen is Raisel Iglesias (closer), Michael Lorenzen (setup), Joel Kuhnel (setup), T.J. McFarland (middle), Amir Garrett (middle), Ryan Hendrix (middle), Jesus Reyes (long), Sal Romano (long).

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 26, 2020, 8:38 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 26 - Brewers 6, Pirates 0

Easy win for the Brewers today. The Brewers are now 7-2 against the Pirates, and it's hard to believe that the Pirates are ahead of the Brewers when watching these head-to-head matchups.

The pitching matchup was Hector Noesi against Freddy Peralta. I've talked about Noesi's hot start in a prior post, but since then he's cooled off considerably. He allowed 8 runs in 2 1/3 innings against San Diego his last time out, and his July ERA will likely be north of 10. Peralta looked good his last time out, and has allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of his last 6 starts.

Noesi allowed 5 runs in the first inning but was really hurt by two errors (he committed one of them). Lorenzo Cain singled and stole second base, Avisail Garcia was hit by a pitch and then Keston Hiura reached on an error by shortstop Kevin Newman. Christian Yelich hit into a fielder's choice at second base that scored the first run. Luis Urias came up and hit a tapper back to Noesi that he botched for an error, allowing Garcia to score. Omar Narvaez came up and singled to score Yelich for the team's third run. Justin Smoak flew out for the second out of the inning. Eric Sogard came up and got what looked like the unintentional intentional walk to bring the pitcher to the plate with two outs and the bases loaded. Peralta came through with a single to score two runs. That was the end for Noesi. Geoff Hartlieb came into the game and Cain lined out to end the inning. Five runs for the Brewers, four of them unearned as Milwaukee takes full advantage of the Pirate errors.

Christian Yelich smashed a line drive, opposite field home run in the second inning to conclude the game's scoring.

Peralta threw six innings and did not allow a run. Alec Bettinger made his major league debut and pitched the seventh inning. He struck out Victor Caratini. Kevin Newman was the next batter and he singled. Jarrod Dyson hit into a fielder's choice at second base, and then stole second base. Pablo Reyes pinch-hit and ended the inning on a pop-up to Keston Hiura.

One piece of bad new, hopefully not too bad. Lorenzo Cain made a diving catch and strained a hamstring on the play. His status is listed as day-to-day for 1 week so hopefully he won't miss any games.

The Cardinals are now solidly in first place. The Pirates are 4 games back, the Reds are 5 1/2 games back and the Brewers are 6 games back.

One pretty significant piece of MLB news. The injury that Dodger second baseman Gavin Lux suffered in the June 22 game against Milwaukee turned out to be a torn MCL. He will be out the next 8 months. Lux was having a great rookie season. .296/.370/.497/.867 with 12 home runs, 42 RBIs and 14 stolen bases. Finishes at 3.1 WAR, was on pace for a 4.9 WAR season.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 27, 2020, 8:49 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 27 - Brewers 9, Cardinals 3

We have a trade-
Brewers get - RHP - Andrew Cashner (in AAA, 75 2/3 innings, 4.28 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, 4.76 FIP, 0.8 HR/9, 3.9 BB/9, 8.1 K/9)
Marlins get - LF - Oswel Leones (19 years old, at Arizona Gold, 129 plate appearances, .295/.388/.393/.780, 1 HR, 8 RBI, 5 SB)
Cashner has not thrown an inning in the majors this season. Leones is a pretty decent lottery ticket-type and goes into the Marlin's top prospect list at #50. It looks like he has good speed and a strong arm, and profiles as a plus defender in both left and right. Doesn't look like he'll ever hit for much power, so the contact aspect probably determines if he makes it to the majors or not. Cashner has initially been assigned to the Arizona Blue team. I wouldn't just assume that he will be in a Brewer's uniform a week from now. This has more of the look that Cashner will go to AAA and serve more as an insurance policy. Kind of a strange move after picking up Wade Miley to probably serve in a similar role just a few days ago. I don't like the move, but I'm not going to sit and belly-ache about it after getting Daniel Lynch for free in an earlier deal.

The Brewers also signed fifth round pick Cade Cavalli, the signing bonus was 370k.

Today's game figured to be a tough one. Alex Reyes for the Cardinals and Josh Lindblom for the Brewers. Reyes entered the game with a 2.41 ERA and put up a 6 1/3 inning, 0 runs, 10 strikeout performance the last time he faced Milwaukee. Lindblom entered the game still with pretty bad season numbers, but had put together four good starts in a row and his arrow has been pointing up. The Cardinals are in first place, but I'm not convinced that they should be considered a favorite for the division. The pitching and defense have been excellent (2nd in starter's ERA, 4th in bullpen ERA, 1st in defensive efficiency and zone rating, all NL ranks), but they have had trouble scoring runs (11th in NL). There are only two players in the regular lineup with OPS's over .800 (Matt Carpenter, Tommy Edman), and they are getting no offense out of the catcher position and Tyler O'Neill hasn't been an offensive force either (.681 OPS).

So Reyes stepped on the mound and it was obvious right from the get-go that he had nothing today. The first four men reached and two runs were on the board before Reyes even recorded an out. Keston Hiura doubled to knock in Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich singled to knock in Avisail Garcia. But the big blow was in the second inning when Garcia stepped to the plate with the bases loaded and hit a 379 foot grand slam to left to put the Brewers up 6-0. The game was basically over at that point and the Brewers cruised to an easy victory.

Paul Goldschmidt hit a 2-run home run in the sixth inning, it was the only blemish on another good start by Lindblom. Hiura hit a solo home run in the seventh off of Tyler Webb. It was really noteworthy as it was Hiura's first home run since June 7. That's right, not July 7, June 7. Hiura had 3 hits on Friday and 3 more hits in this ballgame, maybe he's finally breaking out of the dreadful slump that he has been in.

Lindblom's last five starts = 30 innings, 24 hits, 7 runs (all earned), 4 home runs allowed, 8 walks, 24 strikeouts, 2.10 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 3-1 record.

The Brewers move ahead of the Reds with today's win. Cardinals in first place, the Pirates are 3 games back, the Brewers are 5 games back and the Reds are 5 1/2 games back.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 28, 2020, 8:10 PM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 28 - Brewers 16, Cardinals 5

2B-Casey Martin, the Brewer's second round pick, signed a contract with a 1.06 million dollar signing bonus.

Pitching matchup for today's game was Dakota Hudson against Brandon Woodruff. Hudson is a Cy Young candidate. He entered the game with an 11-3 record and a 1.97 ERA and this one figured to be a tough one for the Brewer bats.

As it turned out, the Brewers had this one wrapped up by the end of the second inning. Not only did Hudson have a bad, bad day, but the entire Cardinals team played like a pee-wee team. Errors, walking in runs, passed balls allowing strikeout victims to reach first base....you name it, the Cardinals did it in this game.

Hudson retired the first two hitters he faced. Keston Hiura singled, stole second and then scored on a Christian Yelich single. Luis Urias doubled to score Yelich, and then Justin Smoak singled to score Urias. Eric Sogard reached on an error by Matt Carpenter, but the inning ended when Manny Pina flew out to centerfield.

The Brewers had the 3-0 lead heading into the bottom of the second. Woodruff was the leadoff hitter and drew a walk. Lorenzo Cain came up and struck out swinging. Avisail Garcia flew out and it looked like Hudson might be on-track after the leadoff walk to the pitcher. Hiura came up and drew a walk. Yelich came up and struck out, but a passed ball on Yadier Molina allowed Yelich to reach first base when it should have been the third out of the inning. Urias came up and drew a walk to score the first run of the inning. Smoak singled to score a second run, and was injured on the play (Ryan Braun was the pinch-runner). Eric Sogard came up and cleared off the bases with a triple. Andrew Miller came into the game and struck out Pina to end the inning. Brewers were up 8-0 and the game was effectively over at this point.

The Brewers ended up scoring seven unearned runs in this game, needless to say a complete embarrassment for the Cardinals. Hiura with another three hit game, Urias with a three hit game. The offense seems to have done a complete 180 since Yelich came off the disabled list. Also worth noting that Alec Bettinger made his second MLB appearance and threw a scoreless seventh inning.

There was no news on the extent of Smoak's injury. He has been given the dreaded "info pending" which could be bad news. He's already been on the DL twice this year.

The Pirates move to within 2 games of St. Louis. The Brewers are 4 games back and the Reds are 4 1/2 games back.

Another kind of goofy trade today:
Cardinals get - LHP - Christian Friedrich (11 2/3 innings, 4.63 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 5.72 FIP), RHP-Kaleb Roper (24 years old, in A ball, 61 innings, 5.16 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 4.59 FIP)
White Sox get - 1B - Luken Baker (23 years old, in AA, 57 plate appearances, .173/.246/.327/.573, 2 HR, 3 RBI), SS-Carlos Arcia (18 years old, in rookie ball, 97 plate appearances, .241/.351/.301/.652, 0 HR, 7 RBI)
Christian Friedrich had a 25 inning stint in AAA this year and was just awful (ERA over 10, WHIP over 2). The Cardinals have put him on the 26-man roster and he doesn't look like a good add for a first place team. Roper has poor ratings and doesn't appear to be anything more than organizational filler. Baker's AA numbers don't look that great but he had a much better run in A+ (.958 OPS in 191 plate appearances). He enters the White Sox top prospect list at #47 and has good enough power and eye ratings to be interesting. Arcia looks like a marginal lottery-ticket type.

But the big MLB news of the day is that Indians pitcher Carlos Carrasco no hits the Kansas City Royals. Carrasco faces 31 batters, walks 5 and strikes out 11.

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Offline  Re: Simulated 2020 Baseball Season (JosephC)
Posted: July 29, 2020, 8:55 AM Post
Posts: 2323
Location: Madison, WI
https://www.ootpdevelopments.com/

July 29 - Brewers 5, Cardinals 4

Justin Smoak has a ruptured medial collateral ligament and is out for the season, estimated recovery time of 7 months. Smoak has been placed on the 60-day DL and has been removed from the 40-man roster. Ryon Healy has been called up and, quite oddly, been given the starting 1B job over Ryan Braun. Healy had a .309/.368/.579/.947 slash line in AAA with 23 home runs and 80 RBIs.

Right handed pitcher Jesus Castillo has also been placed on the 26-man roster. J.P. Feyereisen has been optioned to AAA. Castillo had the best numbers of the AAA pitchers and definitely earned this opportunity. 39 2/3 innings pitched, 1.36 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 3.25 FIP, 0 home runs allowed, 2.5 BB/9, 7.7 K/9.

Pitching matchup in today's game was Carlos Martinez versus Corbin Burnes. The Cardinals claimed an early 2-run lead in the first inning when Tommy Edman doubled in Kolten Wong and Edman later scored on a Paul Goldschmidt ground out. The Cardinals pushed it to a 3-run lead in the third inning when Wong doubled, advanced to third on a passed ball and scored on an Edman single. The Brewers cut the lead to 3-2 in the bottom of the third when Yelich hit a bases loaded double that scored Corbin Burnes and Lorenzo Cain (both had reached base on singles). The Cardinals scored an insurance run in the seventh off of Jesus Castillo. Wong hit a one-out triple and then scored on an Edman sacrifice fly.

So the Brewers were down 4-2 heading into the bottom of the eighth. Yusmeiro Petit was on the hill for St. Louis. Keston Hiura led off the inning with a single. Petit was pulled and Andrew Miller was brought into the ballgame. Christian Yelich flew out to left. Omar Narvaez came up and singled, advancing Hiura to second base. Ryan Braun pinch-hit and struck out. Then the key point in the ballgame occured. Next two batters were lefties Eric Sogard and Brock Holt, but Cardinal's manager Mike Shildt pulled lefty Andrew Miller and inserted righty John Brebbia into the game. Sogard drew a walk to load the bases and then Holt doubled to score all three baserunners and give the Brewers a 5-4 lead.

Josh Hader came into the ballgame to start the ninth. He struck out Paul DeJong, struck out Yadier Molina, walked pinch-hitter Rangel Ravelo and then struck out Wong to end the game.

The Brewers have now won five straight. Cardinals in first place, the Pirates are 2 games back, the Brewers are 3 games back and the Reds are 3 1/2 games back.

There has been two trades made:

Cardinals get RHP - Alex Colome (37 innings, 5.35 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 5.25 FIP)
White Sox get 3B - Brendan Donovan (23 years old, in A+, 325 plate appearances, .247/.308/.366/.674, 6 HR, 32 RBI), RHP - Orlando Romero (23 years old, in A, 53 2/3 innings, 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 4.61 FIP)
Colome makes big money, isn't having a very good season, neither Donovan or Romero are very highly regarded, so this looks like the Cardinals taking a flyer on Colome and not having to give up much because they are taking on the rest of his salary. We'll see if Colome can get it turned around with a change of scenery.

Royals get 1B - Jake Burger (24 years old, in A+, 312 plate appearances, .244/.314/.435/.749, 12 HR, 40 RBI)
White Sox get LHP - Foster Griffin (25 years old, in AA, 70 innings, 3.21 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 3.34 FIP)
Burger goes into the Royals top prospect list at #24 and Griffin goes into the White Sox top prospect list at #57. Burger was well thought of in 2017 but suffered a pair of Achilles injuries that cost him 2018 and 2019. His slash line in 2020 is rather ordinary. I want to say Griffin was in the Royals top 10 at one point but subpar seasons in 2018 and 2019 have dropped him down the list. But he's been used mostly in relief and has been pretty good in 2020. I don't think these players are as far apart as the #24 and #57 rankings would lead one to believe. Interesting trade.

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