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2021 Brewers Optimism Thread

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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#41

Posted: February 07, 2021, 7:37 PM Post
Posts: 1410
Location: Washburn, WI
Yelich and Hiura will both hit 40 homeruns and become the most feared 3-4 punch in baseball!


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Online  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#42

Posted: February 09, 2021, 8:21 AM Post
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Atleast baseball prospectus is optimistic about the brewers

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/stan ... y0U1mJJMj8


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#43

Posted: February 09, 2021, 10:35 AM Post
Posts: 494
patrickgpe said:
Atleast baseball prospectus is optimistic about the brewers

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/stan ... y0U1mJJMj8

That was interesting. San Diego makes all those moves and still doesn't come within seven games of first? That's rough. Same with the White Sox.


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Online  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#44

Posted: February 09, 2021, 11:32 AM Post
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Location: Baltimore, MD
Underachiever said:
patrickgpe said:
Atleast baseball prospectus is optimistic about the brewers

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/stan ... y0U1mJJMj8

That was interesting. San Diego makes all those moves and still doesn't come within seven games of first? That's rough. Same with the White Sox.

San Diego was 6 GB last year in a 60 game season (equivalent of 16.2 GB in a 162 game season), so they have them making up some ground, but the Dodgers adding Bauer certainly didn't help. The White Sox arguably overachieved last year, but I am a little more surprised by their projections. Either way, it's a good reminder that winning the offseason doesn't necessarily mean winning the regular season. That said, winning on paper doesn't either, but I like where we stand! Let's add some more!


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#45

Posted: February 09, 2021, 12:41 PM Post
Posts: 3970
I'm thinking the Sox are down in part, due to Reinsdorf's choice for manager. That will be interesting to see. And potentially a train wreck.

MrAllen said:
Underachiever said:
patrickgpe said:
Atleast baseball prospectus is optimistic about the brewers

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/stan ... y0U1mJJMj8

That was interesting. San Diego makes all those moves and still doesn't come within seven games of first? That's rough. Same with the White Sox.

San Diego was 6 GB last year in a 60 game season (equivalent of 16.2 GB in a 162 game season), so they have them making up some ground, but the Dodgers adding Bauer certainly didn't help. The White Sox arguably overachieved last year, but I am a little more surprised by their projections. Either way, it's a good reminder that winning the offseason doesn't necessarily mean winning the regular season. That said, winning on paper doesn't either, but I like where we stand! Let's add some more!


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#46

Posted: February 10, 2021, 10:18 PM Post
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Wasn't sure if this topic was worth a new thread, but here's an optimistic question: do you think that Luis Urias in a full-time role can be an elite defender at 3B?

It's a meaningless sample size, but in 176.0 innings at 3B last season, he had a +17.6 UZR/150. Obviously that number does not seem sustainable, but if he can put up elite defensive numbers, then even if his offense is just in line with the projection systems (around a .310 wOBA), that makes him a >3.0 fWAR everyday player.


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Online  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#47

Posted: February 11, 2021, 2:20 PM Post
Posts: 5514
Location: Madison, WI
Saw some things like Baseball Prospectus pegging MKE as favorites in the Central. I know to take those type things with a grain of salt but at least that makes me think they can be better than I have been thinking. I was thinking 2nd place and playoffs was very possible due to regression of the Central, while still not thinking MKE would be all that great of a team. I feel like STL should be the faves but these things must be factoring in big bounce backs from Yeli/Keston and that Woodruff/Burnes are legit. Williams/Hader is gold for end of pen. So I guess I'm in, forget the blahness of last year, it's a new season, no reason they can't hang with anyone in the NL other than LA.


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#48

Posted: February 11, 2021, 3:17 PM Post
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SRB said:
Wasn't sure if this topic was worth a new thread, but here's an optimistic question: do you think that Luis Urias in a full-time role can be an elite defender at 3B?

It's a meaningless sample size, but in 176.0 innings at 3B last season, he had a +17.6 UZR/150. Obviously that number does not seem sustainable, but if he can put up elite defensive numbers, then even if his offense is just in line with the projection systems (around a .310 wOBA), that makes him a >3.0 fWAR everyday player.

I do think Urias could be a very good defender at 3B. It's interesting to me that Clay Davenport's projections love Urias as a defensive third baseman. They have him as a 3.0 WAR player despite just a .738 OPS projection (.251/.334 /.404). Basically as you laid out it's on the strength of his expected defense. By comparison Davenport has Justin Turner as a 3.4 WAR third baseman even though his expected batting line is .275/.360 /.467.

So for the purposes of the optimism thread, we could be witnessing some sweet RUN PREVENTION measures around the infield this year!


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#49

Posted: February 11, 2021, 3:59 PM Post
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Location: California
Eye Black said:
I do think Urias could be a very good defender at 3B. It's interesting to me that Clay Davenport's projections love Urias as a defensive third baseman. They have him as a 3.0 WAR player despite just a .738 OPS projection (.251/.334 /.404). Basically as you laid out it's on the strength of his expected defense. By comparison Davenport has Justin Turner as a 3.4 WAR third baseman even though his expected batting line is .275/.360 /.467.

So for the purposes of the optimism thread, we could be witnessing some sweet RUN PREVENTION measures around the infield this year!

If his D plays this well at SS, and I believe that is his natural position, AND he posts this line, he should be your everyday SS. Arcia becomes a piece to add to a trade package to possibly get you a 3B (perhaps to the Reds for Moose and $$).

Put another way, Arcia has had an OBP over .334 and OPS over .738 ZERO times.


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#50

Posted: February 11, 2021, 7:19 PM Post
Posts: 1278
If another 3B is signed, or Robertson is even halfway decent, I do think Urias will see a lot of time at SS. He's actually even been better /76 wRC+ vs 71) as a hitter than Arcia, and I believe him to be the better defender as well. Of course, I would love for Arcias 2020 "breakout" to be real and to create some real competition for places, can only be a good thing.


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#51

Posted: February 14, 2021, 7:27 AM Post
Posts: 6388
https://twitter.com/MLB/status/1359901225504890883?s=20

"You're not going to have him when you want him and you're going to run out of games. He can't pitch 90 games. It's just not going to work. If anyone thinks it's going to work, show me how."- Craig Counsell on Josh Hader.


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#52

Posted: February 15, 2021, 7:37 AM Post
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I’m optimistic that the Crew will make 1-2 major league roster moves this week to solidify additional offense and pitching depth.


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#53

Posted: February 15, 2021, 10:53 AM Post
Posts: 8308
https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-teams-that ... se-in-2021


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#54

Posted: February 15, 2021, 11:36 AM Post
Posts: 133
MLB trying to keep fans interested.


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#55

Posted: February 16, 2021, 4:25 PM Post
Posts: 8308
https://twitter.com/ken_rosenthal/statu ... 60608?s=21


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#56

Posted: February 16, 2021, 4:31 PM Post
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markedman5 said:
https://twitter.com/ken_rosenthal/status/1361803243454660608?s=21

Started a thread to discuss that can be found at this Link.


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#57

Posted: February 16, 2021, 5:06 PM Post
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Posts: 3250
Guys, I am so freaking PUMPED FOR BASEBALL!!!!!!

Posted: July 10, 2014, 12:30 AM
PrinceFielderx1 Said:
If the Brewers don't win the division I should be banned. However, they will.


Last visited: September 03, 2014, 7:10 PM


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#58

Posted: February 16, 2021, 9:30 PM Post
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Some cherry-picked optimism for the current roster, if they all match their best individual years from the last three full seasons (or best 2021 projections for Urias). Hey, it's possible!

LHB 2B Kolten Wong, .285/.376/.412/.788, .336 wOBA, 108 wRC+
RHB CF Lorenzo Cain, .308/.395/.417/.812, .359 wOBA, 125 wRC+
LHB LF Christian Yelich, .329/.429/.671/1.100, .442 wOBA, 175 wRC+
RHB 1B Keston Hiura, .303/.368/.570/.938, .388 wOBA, 140 wRC+
LHB 3B Travis Shaw, .273/.349/.513/.862, .361 wOBA, 120 wRC+
RHB RF Avisail Garcia, .330/.380/.506/.886, .375 wOBA, 138 wRC+
LHB C Omar Narvaez, .275/.366/.429/.795, .348 wOBA, 121 wRC+
RHB SS Luis Urias, .250/.331/.377/.708, .312 wOBA, 93 wRC+

RHSP Corbin Burnes, 13.3 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, 2.04 FIP
RHSP Brandon Woodruff, 11.1 K/9, 2.2 BB/9, 3.20 FIP
RHSP Josh Lindblom, 10.3 K.9, 3.2 BB/9, 3.88 FIP
LHSP Brett Anderson, 5.3 K.9, 1.5 BB/9, 4.17 FIP
RHSP Adrian Houser, 9.4 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 4.22 FIP

RHRP Devin Williams, 17.7 K.9, 3.0 BB/9, 0.86 FIP
LHRP Josh Hader, 15.8 K/9, 3.3 BB/9, 2.23 FIP

[laughing] [laughing] [laughing]


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#59

Posted: February 17, 2021, 12:17 PM Post
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PECOTA has the Brewers winning the division!

(sorry if this has been mentioned. I just found out)

"Dustin Pedroia doesn't have the strength or bat speed to hit major-league pitching consistently, and he has no power......He probably has a future as a backup infielder if he can stop rolling over to third base and shortstop." Keith Law, 2006


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Offline  Re: 2021 Brewers Optimism Thread
#60

Posted: February 20, 2021, 4:06 PM Post
Posts: 8308
https://twitter.com/sophiaminnaert/stat ... 33088?s=21


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