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2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) [Brewers win, 5-2]

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Online  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 8:11 PM Post
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Posts: 1752
Once the computers take over the strike zone, I think there should be another zone 1 foot or so around the actual strike zone. If the pitch misses that zone it counts for 2 balls.


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 8:23 PM Post
Posts: 2825
Aguilar just earned his entire paycheck. That must have been fun, lol.


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 8:24 PM Post
Posts: 1776
Well we know who our 4th catchers is

Damn 99


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 8:27 PM Post
Posts: 118
Here is a stat I would never guess.
Brewers are tied for first in all of baseball with a .284 average with RISP.


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Online  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 8:28 PM Post
Posts: 1240
Ballgame!


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 8:28 PM Post
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yourout said:
Here is a stat I would never guess.
Brewers are tied for first in all of baseball with a .284 average with RISP.


How many of those hits didn't plate a run though.


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Online  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 8:29 PM Post
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Location: Milwaukee, WI
Omg, please let Kratz rejoin this team.


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 8:29 PM Post
Posts: 1776
1 worse than 2018

Runs scored 4.75
Runs allowed 4.27

Almost to .5


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 8:33 PM Post
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Brew4U said:
Omg, please let Kratz rejoin this team.


I think they probably think they have a better Kratz in Freitas. I'd rather see Kratz or Nottingham, though. Freitas does nothing for me.


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Online  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 8:36 PM Post
Posts: 1240
TJseven7 said:
1 worse than 2018

Runs scored 4.75
Runs allowed 4.27

Almost to .5


End of year 5 > 3.6 = 100+ wins


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) [Brewers win, 5-2]
Posted: May 15, 2019, 9:04 PM Post
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I missed the game. How did Hiura look at the plate tonight? I know he went 0 for 4

The David Stearns era: Controllable Young Talent. Watch the Jedi work his magic!


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) [Brewers win, 5-2]
Posted: May 15, 2019, 9:29 PM Post
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3and2Fastball said:
I missed the game. How did Hiura look at the plate tonight? I know he went 0 for 4


Nothing hit particularly hard, and had chances to break the game open with RISP. But far from looking lost - only one strikeout and not chasing out of the zone.


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) [Brewers win, 5-2]
Posted: May 15, 2019, 9:53 PM Post
Posts: 1776
folly412 said:
3and2Fastball said:
I missed the game. How did Hiura look at the plate tonight? I know he went 0 for 4


Nothing hit particularly hard, and had chances to break the game open with RISP. But far from looking lost - only one strikeout and not chasing out of the zone.


Well on the K he did chase one breaker low. He forced 2 tough defensive plays and one he would have beat out if CC had challenged the play. Defensively he was quite good tonight.


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 9:55 PM Post
Posts: 1776
Brew crew 92 said:
TJseven7 said:
1 worse than 2018

Runs scored 4.75
Runs allowed 4.27

Almost to .5


End of year 5 > 3.6 = 100+ wins


+1.4 is a lock for 100 wins
+1.1 with some luck is likely 100 wins.

Being +.5 and 7 games over 500 (94 pace)... being a team that has the pen to win the close games. I'd think 5 and 3.9 would do the trick.

I've pointed at 5 and 4.1 being the goal for over a year now. That was at the time that the Astros made their push to lessen Ks in their lineup, which we followed in 2018.


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 9:59 PM Post
Posts: 428
Location: Wisconsin
TJseven7 said:
yfinn6 said:
Nice turn by Hiura.


For a guy who isn't supposed to be much of a defender he hasn't looked bad at all.


Other than dropping a simple looping liner but fortunately recovering to start a DP he’s made the basic plays so far.


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 10:02 PM Post
Posts: 1776
BruisedCrew said:
TJseven7 said:
yfinn6 said:
Nice turn by Hiura.


For a guy who isn't supposed to be much of a defender he hasn't looked bad at all.


Other than dropping a simple looping liner but fortunately recovering to start a DP he’s made the basic plays so far.


Showed solid range getting behind Arcia on the one he booted.
Charged and scooped a few real well tonight.
Good turns in the double play.

Done more than basic stuff.


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 10:02 PM Post
Posts: 428
Location: Wisconsin
Eye Black said:
Beautiful piece of hitting by Christian there going with where it was pitched and peppering left field.

Also, where is everyone tonight? Is there something else going on??


Yelich is one of those great hitters who gets a few hits even when he’s not seeing it well.


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Online  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 10:02 PM Post
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TJseven7 said:

+1.4 is a lock for 100 wins
+1.1 with some luck is likely 100 wins.

Being +5 and 6 games over 500... being a team that has the pen to win the close games. I'd think 5 and 3.9 would do the trick.

I've pointed at 5 and 4.1 being the goal for over a year now. That was at the time that the Astros made their lessen Ks push, which we followed in 2018.


I don't find the overall end results all that interesting, but when it's broken down into the strategies of WHY those end results happen I find it very interesting. Winning close games is basically how teams win in the playoffs. A good bullpen, defense, and having guys who don't strike out often are intuitively good strategies to win those kinds of games, but I don't know if the stats corroborate that kind of intuition.


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) 6:05 PM CDT
Posted: May 15, 2019, 10:06 PM Post
Posts: 1776
Oxy said:
TJseven7 said:

+1.4 is a lock for 100 wins
+1.1 with some luck is likely 100 wins.

Being +5 and 6 games over 500... being a team that has the pen to win the close games. I'd think 5 and 3.9 would do the trick.

I've pointed at 5 and 4.1 being the goal for over a year now. That was at the time that the Astros made their lessen Ks push, which we followed in 2018.


I don't find the overall end results all that interesting, but when it's broken down into the strategies of WHY those end results happen I find it very interesting. Winning close games is basically how teams win in the playoffs. A good bullpen, defense, and having guys who don't strike out often are intuitively good strategies to win those kinds of games, but I don't know if the stats corroborate that kind of intuition.


I did a write up on it in the Broxton days. Our record was highly dependent on K numbers. Games with 3BB or over and 9Ks or under were heavily skewed towards wins vs the contrary. I can't fully grasp the numbers these guys are dealing with but at the time I suggested that MKEs results coupled with the Astros huge shift to get even mediocre filler pieces in the lineup who just didn't K had something to do with an analytical point of saturation where if Ks by game reach a certain point, your offense completely decays.

Houston went from nearly a 11-12K team per game to south of 9. We were near 13 for stretches of the year.

Having guys who K 200 times is fine as long as its lessened by the whole. Walker, Granderson replacing Villar Broxton followed. Moose, Cain, Gamel are big influencers on that.

I don't know how to explain it or why. I just have little doubt the analytics guys keyed in on it for some reason.


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Offline  Re: 2019-05-15: Brewers (González) at Phillies (Arrieta) [Brewers win, 5-2]
Posted: May 15, 2019, 10:34 PM Post
Posts: 428
Location: Wisconsin
There’s no reason for the Brewers to do anything dramatic with the backup catcher as long as Pina’s injury won’t keep him out more than 10 days. With off days Monday and Thursday next week, Grandal could catch tomorrow, 2 of the 3 against the Braves, both games against the Reds, and Friday and Saturday against the Phillies. Pins could come off the DL if healthy and catch a week from Sunday. So, whoever is the backup catcher would only have to start one game and be available for emergency duty the rest of the time.


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