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2017-07-25: Brewers (Davies) at Nationals (E. Jackson) 6:05 PM CDT [Brewers win, 8-0]

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Offline  Re: 2017-07-25: Brewers (Davies) at Nationals (E. Jackson) 6:05 PM CDT
#61

Posted: July 26, 2017, 10:24 AM Post
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Location: bush Alaska
Minor gripe here, but I don't for one second buy that estimate of 427' on Thames' HR last night.


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Offline  Re: 2017-07-25: Brewers (Davies) at Nationals (E. Jackson) 6:05 PM CDT
#62

Posted: July 26, 2017, 10:50 AM Post
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AKCheesehead said:
Minor gripe here, but I don't for one second buy that estimate of 427' on Thames' HR last night.



Haha, that's what I just said. That had to be 450+


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Offline  Re: 2017-07-25: Brewers (Davies) at Nationals (E. Jackson) 6:05 PM CDT
#63

Posted: July 26, 2017, 11:56 AM Post
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Hah I hadn't even seen your post. My gut reaction was that they were protecting some Harper Nats Park record, but it turns out the record belongs to Morse at 465'.

In any case, I figure it had to be around 400' or more from home plate to the 3rd deck mezzanine that ball blasted into, and it wasn't slowing down.

427' my foot.


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Offline  Re: 2017-07-25: Brewers (Davies) at Nationals (E. Jackson) 6:05 PM CDT
#64

Posted: July 26, 2017, 12:23 PM Post
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The Weatherman
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AKCheesehead said:
Minor gripe here, but I don't for one second buy that estimate of 427' on Thames' HR last night.


The ESPN hit tracker estimate of 432' is reasonable. That's still very impressive, especially for a HR hit down the line.

Based on their charts, the ball hit the stands approximately 370 ft from home plate. See here: http://hittrackeronline.com/hrdetail.php?id=2017_3747

31 degree elevation angle is too high to get a 450 ft HR. Most of the 450+ ft HRs have a launch angle closer about 5 degrees lower.

Note that many of the statcast estimates are BS...for instance that Broxton HR in St. Louis was something like 50 ft overestimated compared to the ESPN hit tracker (which is far more accurate than statcast because the methodology is better).


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