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Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread

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Offline  Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#1

Posted: January 11, 2018, 5:01 PM Post
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In what has been a painfully slow off-season things appear to be picking up in terms of rumors connecting the Brewers to various Free Agents. While we wait for the Free Agent fun to begin lets place our bets on who the Brewers will sign at some point between now and Opening Day. This one is straightforward, looking for predictions of a player you think the Brewers will sign and your predicted terms of the agreement for that player. This isn’t who you WANT the Brewers to sign (we have a thread for that), but rather who you think they WILL ultimately sign this off-season. If you don’t believe they will sign any additional Free Agents you can certainly note that as well. This doesn’t just have to be big splash Free Agents either, but hoping we can keep it to guys that would likely sign major league free agent deals.

I will kick it off with my Brewers Free Agent prediction...

Free Agent: Alex Cobb, RHP
Years: 4
Total Cost: $58 million


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#2

Posted: January 11, 2018, 5:14 PM Post
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Ok I will add one also:

Free Agent: Jake Arrieta, RHP
Years: 3+2 option years player opt out after the 3rd year and a team option for year 5
Total Cost: $100 million if for all 5-years. Years 1-3 total of $66m player option for year 4 at $18m year 5 team option at $16m.


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#3

Posted: January 11, 2018, 6:40 PM Post
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Free Agent: Jake Arrieta, RHP
Years: 3
Total Cost: $100 million ($33, $33, $33)

Free Agent: Neil Walker
Years: 2
Total Cost: $22 million

Free Agent: Jonathan Lucroy
Years: 2
Total Cost: $16 million

If the Brewers make the move to add Arrieta, I have to believe they see themselves as challengers in the NL. A rotation of Arrieta-Anderson-Davies-Chacin-Woodruff/Nelson, assuming they pitch to their 2017 selves, can compete with most anyone.

If the Brewers see themselves as competitors, then I definitely see them solidifying 2B with Walker...and Lucroy if they can stretch the payroll and add the additional $52 million in 2018 and 2019. I know some of you say Lucroy doesn't make sense given Pina, Vogt, Susac, Bandy but I think on the right deal, it makes all the sense in the world to bring Lucroy back to share time with Pina. Additionally, the Walker and Lucroy deals are short enough that it frees up money for arbitration eligible players like Shaw, Santana and Arcia in 2020.

A two year push of big money and then the gradual filling in of cheap prospects in 2020 and 2021 e.g. Hiura/Diaz for Walker at 2B, Brinson/Harrison for Braun in LF.


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#4

Posted: January 11, 2018, 9:01 PM Post
Posts: 11176
Lorenzo Cain:. 4 yrs/$64 million with an option. $15 million per year from 18-21, plus a $4 million buyout or a 5th year at $13 million.

Neil Walker:. 2 years with an option. $9 million per year with a $2 million buyout or 3rd year for $8 million.


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#5

Posted: January 12, 2018, 7:24 PM Post
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You guys talked me into adding a second signing to my prediction, it make sense a lot of sense. I just think he is going to end up with a 3rd year and a higher total cost...

Free Agent: Neil Walker
Years: 3
Cost: $31.5 million


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#6

Posted: January 12, 2018, 9:24 PM Post
Posts: 182
Oh 5 million plus incentives to bring it to 7 Million plus 8 million option with 1 Million buyout
Jaime Garcia with similar contract to Oh.


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#7

Posted: January 13, 2018, 7:45 PM Post
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Free agent: Lance Lynn
Years: 3 with a mutual option for a 4th year
Cost: 52 mil, option year is 18 mil

Free Agent: Oh
Years: 1
Cost: 6 mil with 2 mil available in incentives

Free Agent: Neil Walker
Years:3
Cost: 35 Mil


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#8

Posted: January 21, 2018, 7:46 PM Post
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Free Agent: Yu Darvish
Years: 5
Cost: $110 Mil


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#9

Posted: January 21, 2018, 7:47 PM Post
Posts: 389
Darvish 4/90


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#10

Posted: January 21, 2018, 7:57 PM Post
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My Darvish guess whether with the Brewers or elsewhere would be something like 5 years for $135 million. Have also heard some speculation that Darvish may consider a contract that includes a player opt out after a couple of years.


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#11

Posted: January 21, 2018, 8:05 PM Post
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Location: At the gettin' place
Darvish 5/125. I would have mixed enotions on that. This team shouldn't be paying a pitcher 25 a year, but He is an absolute blast to watch pitch.


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#12

Posted: January 21, 2018, 8:06 PM Post
Posts: 795
Damn, I would love to add Darvish!

Darvish
Anderson
Davies
Chacin
Woodruff

With Nelson coming back possibly sooner! Oh hell yes!


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#13

Posted: January 21, 2018, 8:09 PM Post
Posts: 389
BestInTheWorld said:
Damn, I would love to add Darvish!

Darvish
Anderson
Davies
Chacin
hader

With Nelson coming back possibly sooner! Oh hell yes!


Fixed


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#14

Posted: January 21, 2018, 8:53 PM Post
Posts: 3338
My picks:

Darvish: 4 years, $80 million, team option for a fifth year at $25 million.

Lucroy: 4 years, $40 million


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#15

Posted: January 21, 2018, 9:10 PM Post
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I'm game!

Nunez: 2 years, 8 Million

Darvish (why Not!) 5 years, 110 million

or more realistically

Cobb 3 years, 42 million


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#16

Posted: January 22, 2018, 2:53 PM Post
Posts: 123
clancyphile said:
My picks:

Darvish: 4 years, $80 million, team option for a fifth year at $25 million.

Lucroy: 4 years, $40 million



what in the hell?


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#17

Posted: January 22, 2018, 5:22 PM Post
Posts: 3338
mattyo said:
clancyphile said:
My picks:

Darvish: 4 years, $80 million, team option for a fifth year at $25 million.

Lucroy: 4 years, $40 million



what in the hell?


I think Lucroy/Pina beats Pina/Vogt/Bandy/Susac by a wide margin. Plus, I think he helps the pitchers. He'd also be familiar with Darvish, having caught him in Texas in 2016 and part of 2017.


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#18

Posted: January 22, 2018, 5:34 PM Post
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Location: Phoenix, AZ
clancyphile said:
mattyo said:
clancyphile said:
My picks:

Darvish: 4 years, $80 million, team option for a fifth year at $25 million.

Lucroy: 4 years, $40 million



what in the hell?


I think Lucroy/Pina beats Pina/Vogt/Bandy/Susac by a wide margin. Plus, I think he helps the pitchers. He'd also be familiar with Darvish, having caught him in Texas in 2016 and part of 2017.


Lucroy's defense has fallen off significantly he is no longer a top defensive catcher. Lucroy is just a little bit better defensively than Vogt and is about a wash offensively between the two. So no it is not by a wide margin if anything they are about equal and I will take Pina and Vogt over Lucroy and Pina every single time.


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#19

Posted: January 22, 2018, 6:19 PM Post
Posts: 114
I put this in the “buzz” thread, but figured it’s best here. So in a flurry of activity starting with some trades, the first FA signing would be darvish, and the rest turns out like this (more of a prayer than a prediction).

FA:
Sign Darvish to a 5 year deal (110M?)
Sign Oh to a 1 year/ 4M
Sign Walker to a 2 year / 22M

Trade
NYY: Trade Broxton and filler for Ellsbury, 30M, and good prospects (Abreu & Dillion Tate)
CLE: Trade Santana for Meija, Yu-Cheng Chang
CHW: Trade Thames, Ortiz, Stokes, Supak for Jose Abreu
??: Villar & Aguilar for low level prospects (think Lind trade)

New lineup
C: Pina
1B: Abreu
2B: Walker
SS: Arcia
3B: Shaw
LF: Braun
CF: Brinson
RF: Phillips
Bench: Ellsbury, Vogt, Perez, Sogard

SP: Darvish, Anderson, Chacin, Davies, Woodruff (+ Nelson)
RP: Knebel, Hader, Oh, Logan, Barnes, Jeffress, Guerra, Suter (+ Williams, Houser in AAA)


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Offline  Re: Brewers Free Agent Signing Prediction Thread
#20

Posted: January 22, 2018, 7:59 PM Post
Posts: 240
Andrew Cashner, one year, 7 million. He will reinvent himself and wind up as an effective set up man.


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