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Remaining top free agent predictions

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Online  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 15, 2019, 11:10 AM Post
Posts: 479
Boras clients in green. He's shown a willingness to wait out the market with his clients so it's not a huge surprise his clients make up about half of this list. I updated your list with my own feelings on these guys.

James Shields (borderline)
Bryce Harper Multi year
Manny Machado Multi year
Adam Jones (Borderline)
Ervin Santana (coming off injury)
Dallas Keuchel multi year
Craig Kimbrel Multi year
Matt Wieters (minor league deal)
Denard Span (borderline)
Gio Gonzalez
Carlos Gonzalez (borderline)

Ryan Madson (Borderline, I know he was solid in the postseason, but his season totals were uninspiring and he's 38 yo)
Josh Harrison (borderline)
Evan Gattis (minor league deal)
Mike Moustakas
Jose Iglesias
Tony Sipp
Carlos Gomez (minor league deal)
Martin Maldonado
Marwin Gonzalez
Multi year
Adam Warren
Cameron Maybin (minor league deal)
Derek Dietrich (borderline)
Clay Buchholz
Edwin Jackson (minor league deal)

Other borderline types I saw on the FA list are:
Dan Jennings
Bud Norris


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 15, 2019, 11:52 AM Post
Posts: 4169
Location: New Berlin, WI
Passan posted this article, I specifically looked at item 1...Harper and MM. There's some interesting stuff regarding the 2 agents and overall dynamics of their potential signings.

http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/2600 ... ree-agency


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 15, 2019, 1:09 PM Post
Posts: 1354
KeithStone53151 said:
Passan posted this article, I specifically looked at item 1...Harper and MM. There's some interesting stuff regarding the 2 agents and overall dynamics of their potential signings.

http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/2600 ... ree-agency


The players union should be applying a little pressure on Machado and Harper to sign. They are clearly holding up the market on a lot of those other guys. I think even one of them signing should unleash a barrage of signings.


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 15, 2019, 1:39 PM Post
Posts: 4169
Location: New Berlin, WI
wallus said:
KeithStone53151 said:
Passan posted this article, I specifically looked at item 1...Harper and MM. There's some interesting stuff regarding the 2 agents and overall dynamics of their potential signings.

http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/2600 ... ree-agency


The players union should be applying a little pressure on Machado and Harper to sign. They are clearly holding up the market on a lot of those other guys. I think even one of them signing should unleash a barrage of signings.


Well right, the crux of it for anyone that didn't read...one of Harper/MM signing could cause the teams that missed out to increase their offers for the remaining player...so both players are worried they won't maximize value by signing first. Also apparently both agents are still portraying strength in negotiations. I don't think it's at all fair to solely blame the teams or the players. It's not fair to expect teams to basically write a blank check and let Harper or MM fill in whatever $/years they want. That seems to be the expectation of Josh and all other agents/players.


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 15, 2019, 2:00 PM Post
Posts: 4169
Location: New Berlin, WI
This is super pointed. I feel like he's basically calling out the other side. That's not a really good way to get a player to sign with you, I bet he's frustrated with the Boras clown show.

https://twitter.com/ScottMillerBbl/stat ... 5572545538


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 15, 2019, 2:03 PM Post
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Posts: 5866
KeithStone53151 said:
This is super pointed. I feel like he's basically calling out the other side. That's not a really good way to get a player to sign with you, I bet he's frustrated with the Boras clown show.

https://twitter.com/ScottMillerBbl/stat ... 5572545538


"We have stupid money, but we're only going to blow it on our terms."


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 16, 2019, 8:03 AM Post
Posts: 1400
Location: Madison, WI
KeithStone53151 said:
Passan posted this article, I specifically looked at item 1...Harper and MM. There's some interesting stuff regarding the 2 agents and overall dynamics of their potential signings.

http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/2600 ... ree-agency


I thought #2 was just as interesting. All this talk about all these great free agents left. Well, not really.

https://www.mlb.com/news/2019-mlb-free- ... -293292274

So by fWAR-
SS - Manny Machado (6.2)
SP - Dallas Keuchel (3.6) - mediocre strikeout numbers pushes his value down in the current MLB climate
RF - Bryce Harper (3.5)
SS - Jose Iglesias (2.5) - nearly all his value comes with the glove, below-average bat with a career .270/.315/.363/.678 slash line
3B - Mike Moustakas (2.4)
SP - Gio Gonzalez (2.0)
SP - Clay Buchholz (1.9) - starting pitcher that has averaged 90 innings over the last four years
RF - Carlos Gonzalez (1.7) - .243/.301/.374/.675 on the road from 2016-2018
LF - Marwin Gonzalez (1.6) - lifetime .264/.318/.419/.737 and that includes the out-of-character 2017 numbers, mediocre glove for most positions other than LF and the bat plays down there
LF - Denard Span (1.5)
RP - Craig Kimbral (1.5)
RF - Jose Bautista (1.0) - way up there in age

Only 6 left that posted a WAR of 2+ last year and only 12 left that posted a WAR of 1+ last year.


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 16, 2019, 5:49 PM Post
Posts: 955
I seem to remember hearing that the majority of the pitching market last year was waiting on the elite few to sign and then when they finally did, there was not an immediate glut of signings rather it slowly came in after that.


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 17, 2019, 4:38 PM Post
Posts: 265
Would a Gio signing on a 1 year deal be bad at this point? It just feels like we could use a LH arm that can be a starter or Long reliever.


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 17, 2019, 8:04 PM Post
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Posts: 909
PilprinBuddha said:
Would a Gio signing on a 1 year deal be bad at this point? It just feels like we could use a LH arm that can be a starter or Long reliever.

Gio could fill Suter's role at least until Brent returns.


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Online  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 18, 2019, 11:43 AM Post
Posts: 479
PilprinBuddha said:
Would a Gio signing on a 1 year deal be bad at this point? It just feels like we could use a LH arm that can be a starter or Long reliever.


If he's available on a 1 year deal I think he still makes sense for the Brewers.

I originally thought we was closer to the Morton, Lynn, Sanchez, Happ type free agent signing, but as it goes on he's probably closer to the Harvey, Sabathia, Holland, Cahill end of things.


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 18, 2019, 11:59 PM Post
Posts: 4169
Location: New Berlin, WI
I wouldn't want GG even on a minor league deal. I don't want to risk him looking slightly better than mediocre in ST and taking a rotation spot from Burnes/Woodruff/Peralta trio. I believe in our young arms and don't want some mediocre retread getting starts ahead of those guys.


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 19, 2019, 12:06 AM Post
Posts: 4169
Location: New Berlin, WI
JosephC said:
KeithStone53151 said:
Passan posted this article, I specifically looked at item 1...Harper and MM. There's some interesting stuff regarding the 2 agents and overall dynamics of their potential signings.

http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/2600 ... ree-agency


I thought #2 was just as interesting. All this talk about all these great free agents left. Well, not really.

https://www.mlb.com/news/2019-mlb-free- ... -293292274

So by fWAR-
SS - Manny Machado (6.2)
SP - Dallas Keuchel (3.6) - mediocre strikeout numbers pushes his value down in the current MLB climate
RF - Bryce Harper (3.5)
SS - Jose Iglesias (2.5) - nearly all his value comes with the glove, below-average bat with a career .270/.315/.363/.678 slash line
3B - Mike Moustakas (2.4)
SP - Gio Gonzalez (2.0)
SP - Clay Buchholz (1.9) - starting pitcher that has averaged 90 innings over the last four years
RF - Carlos Gonzalez (1.7) - .243/.301/.374/.675 on the road from 2016-2018
LF - Marwin Gonzalez (1.6) - lifetime .264/.318/.419/.737 and that includes the out-of-character 2017 numbers, mediocre glove for most positions other than LF and the bat plays down there
LF - Denard Span (1.5)
RP - Craig Kimbral (1.5)
RF - Jose Bautista (1.0) - way up there in age

Only 6 left that posted a WAR of 2+ last year and only 12 left that posted a WAR of 1+ last year.


I find it a bit weird that Iglesias doesn't have a job. Unless he is specifically insisting on a starting SS job, he seems like he'd be an excellent utility guy. I can't imagine him not being a plus defender at 3 infield spots. I also still think Marwin Gonzalez gets a fairly surpringly large contract. It overall sounds like things may be wrapping up for the big 2 shortly.

Why has there been such minimal chatter on Kimbrel. I've heard next to nothing on him, and can't think of a single team that's even involved in bidding for him. I know he had a bad month or two last year, but he's still a high end reliever.


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 19, 2019, 7:50 AM Post
Posts: 1869
I know not a top free agent - but very surprised that Gerado Parra had to sign a minor league deal. Would have figured he would be a nice fit as a 4th OF for someone.


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 19, 2019, 11:32 AM Post
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Posts: 11199
Location: Milwaukee, WI
Roderick said:
I know not a top free agent - but very surprised that Gerado Parra had to sign a minor league deal. Would have figured he would be a nice fit as a 4th OF for someone.

Image


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 20, 2019, 8:34 AM Post
Posts: 1400
Location: Madison, WI
Parra just doesn't have enough of a bat to be real attractive as a corner outfielder. Last three years he's slashed .283/.320/.407/.728 while playing all his home games in Colorado. That translates to a 80 OPS+ over those three seasons and last year he had an 80 wRC+. He still plays plus defense in both corner outfield spots but his bat is definitely subpar for those positions. Steamer projects him as a -0.1 WAR player for 2019. I am a bit surprised he had to sign a minor league deal, but if guessing a few months ago I probably would have put him at a 1 year deal at somewhere in the 1.5 to 2 million dollar range.


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Online  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 20, 2019, 9:27 AM Post
Posts: 537
Roderick said:
I know not a top free agent - but very surprised that Gerado Parra had to sign a minor league deal. Would have figured he would be a nice fit as a 4th OF for someone.


Not sure why the surprise? I think the bolded kind of go hand in hand. The difference between a bench player on a major league deal, a bench player who came in on a minor league deal, a AAAA player, an older AAA player, a player who heads overseas for a few years, and an unemployed vet is often negligible. Teams are figuring this out and saving the guaranteed dollars for the difference makers.


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 21, 2019, 5:28 PM Post
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Posts: 9455
Marvin talking to the twins


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 21, 2019, 5:40 PM Post
Posts: 135
JosephC said:
KeithStone53151 said:
LF - Marwin Gonzalez (1.6) - lifetime .264/.318/.419/.737 and that includes the out-of-character 2017 numbers, mediocre glove for most positions other than LF and the bat plays down there




THIS!!

I have long said that Hernan is just another version of Marwin, poor man's version, but not that different. Now that Moose is at 2B we can use Hernan to his strengths and not overexpose him the way that Marwin has been revealed here.

Good luck to Marwin, but he should be happy to play ball.

PS--I fully acknowledge that Marwin carried HOU when they were missing players the year they won it all.


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Offline  Re: Remaining top free agent predictions
Posted: February 21, 2019, 10:13 PM Post
Posts: 15762
ebmackenzie said:
JosephC said:
KeithStone53151 said:
LF - Marwin Gonzalez (1.6) - lifetime .264/.318/.419/.737 and that includes the out-of-character 2017 numbers, mediocre glove for most positions other than LF and the bat plays down there




THIS!!

I have long said that Hernan is just another version of Marwin, poor man's version, but not that different. Now that Moose is at 2B we can use Hernan to his strengths and not overexpose him the way that Marwin has been revealed here.

Good luck to Marwin, but he should be happy to play ball.

PS--I fully acknowledge that Marwin carried HOU when they were missing players the year they won it all.


That number also includes the out of character numbers from 2012 and 2013.


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