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2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) [Brewers lose, 3-1 -- Burnes is masterful allowing 1 hit and 0 walks w/ 9 strikeouts; Devil Magic proves too strong]

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Offline  2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) [Brewers lose, 3-1 -- Burnes is masterful allowing 1 hit and 0 walks w/ 9 strikeouts; Devil Magic proves too strong]
#1

Posted: April 08, 2021, 6:18 AM Post
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Corbin Burnes: Batter (Cardinals) vs Pitching Stats

Adam Wainwright: Batter (Brewers) vs Pitching Stats


Statcast Game Preview for Cardinals-Brewers

Statcast Game Feed for Cardinals-Brewers


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#2

Posted: April 08, 2021, 6:22 AM Post
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Corbin Burnes over his career has been feast or famine versus this current collection of Cardinals hitters. Amazingly 35 of their 45 at bats against him has ended in either a strike out (19) or base hit (16).

Among those 16 hits, 5 have been home runs, but he only gave up 1 HR over his two short appearances (4.2 IP and 3.2 IP) against the Cardinals last season (both came in September).


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#3

Posted: April 08, 2021, 6:46 AM Post
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Well we keep flirting, so why not no hit the Cards on their home opener.


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#4

Posted: April 08, 2021, 6:52 AM Post
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I believe that would be breaking a Cardinal unwritten rule...

JosephC said:
Stearns probably had no interest in getting a C because the Brewers need a C. It makes much more sense to trade for 3B when it's not needed, and then move the other 3B to 2B, then trade for a 2B, but since the 3B is now at 2B, then the new 2B goes to SS


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Online  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#5

Posted: April 08, 2021, 7:09 AM Post
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igor67 said:
Well we keep flirting, so why not no hit the Cards on their home opener.


Why bother? Some scrub like Edman is just gonna break it up with a bunt single in the bottom of the 8th.

Formerly Joey Meyer Bombs


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#6

Posted: April 08, 2021, 7:33 AM Post
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When I've simulated games with Baseball Mogul, Burns does well, but the Brewer who often comes closest to a no-no is Freddy Peralta...

Go figure.


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#7

Posted: April 08, 2021, 7:33 AM Post
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Can the Brewers offense score a run for Burnes? That would be my biggest question for today.


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#8

Posted: April 08, 2021, 7:39 AM Post
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wibadgers23 said:
Can the Brewers offense score a run for Burnes? That would be my biggest question for today.


It's time to start rewarding our starting pitching with some early runs.


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#9

Posted: April 08, 2021, 8:32 AM Post
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Nothing can beat 2004 Sheets as far as lack of run support for a whole year. I'm going on a limb it won't be that bad.


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#10

Posted: April 08, 2021, 8:40 AM Post
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stalton said:
Nothing can beat 2004 Sheets as far as lack of run support for a whole year. I'm going on a limb it won't be that bad.


Check out deGrom with the Mets.
He just never gets run support.
He must be the most frustrated pitcher in MLB on a yearly basis.


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#11

Posted: April 08, 2021, 9:48 AM Post
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Hopper said:
stalton said:
Nothing can beat 2004 Sheets as far as lack of run support for a whole year. I'm going on a limb it won't be that bad.


Check out deGrom with the Mets.
He just never gets run support.
He must be the most frustrated pitcher in MLB on a yearly basis.


Ben Sheets in 2004 went 12-14 with a 2.7 ERA and 2.65 FIP.
Jacob Degrom won the Cy Young in 2018 with a 1.7 ERA and 1.98 FIP and a 10-9 record.

I don't know how to find run support stats, but that's really bad for both pitcher. I would say slightly worse for Degrom. I also have Degrom on my fantasy team, so I'm well aware of how many 7+ inning outings with 2 or less runs didn't result in a win.


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Online  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#12

Posted: April 08, 2021, 10:23 AM Post
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Might be playing through some rain today. Not a huge chance but some.

"I'm not as good as I was but in big moments I'm still the guy. I want that opportunity." -Ryan Braun


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#13

Posted: April 08, 2021, 10:30 AM Post
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Here’s a Ripley’s Believe It or Not fun fact....

Last season Corbin Burnes won four games. In those four wins the Brewers outscored their opponents a combined 40-2.


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#14

Posted: April 08, 2021, 10:40 AM Post
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Brew4U said:
Might be playing through some rain today. Not a huge chance but some.


Yeah, interested to see if they postpone at some point soon given a great forecast for tomorrow's off day.

EDIT: Saturday's forecast looks really bad, so guessing there's at least one PPD. We'll see.


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#15

Posted: April 08, 2021, 10:47 AM Post
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KeithStone53151 said:
Ben Sheets in 2004 went 12-14 with a 2.7 ERA and 2.65 FIP.
Jacob Degrom won the Cy Young in 2018 with a 1.7 ERA and 1.98 FIP and a 10-9 record.

I don't know how to find run support stats, but that's really bad for both pitcher. I would say slightly worse for Degrom. I also have Degrom on my fantasy team, so I'm well aware of how many 7+ inning outings with 2 or less runs didn't result in a win.


I don’t know how to find average run support, but Baseball Reference splits allows you to find how many total runs a team scored for the entire game when a pitcher started on their player splits pages. Here is the breakdown for those two seasons in game’s started for each pitcher:

Ben Sheets 2004
34 Games Started
0-2 Runs Scored: 14 times (1-12 record in those games)
3-5 Runs Scored: 12 times (7-2 record in those games)
6+ Runs Scored: 8 times (4-0 record in those games)

Jacob deGrom 2018
32 Games Started
0-2 Runs Scored: 12 times (0-7 record in those games)
3-5 Runs Scored: 13 times (5-2 record in those games)
6+ Runs Scored: 7 times (5-0 record in those games)


Also, this was noted in a previous In-Game Thread, but the Brewers have scored 0-2 runs for the entire game in over half of Adrian Houser’s career starts. That’s 0-2 total runs in 16 of his 30 starts.


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#16

Posted: April 08, 2021, 11:46 AM Post
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We need to be really careful not to break any unwritten rules this series. Otherwise Molina might grab our player by the throat and our player will get ejected and suspended for 2 games.


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#17

Posted: April 08, 2021, 11:48 AM Post
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Wong back in there and Huria still bumming in the 2 hole.

Wong
Huria
Yeli
Shaw
JBJ
Cain
Narvaez
Urias
Burnes


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#18

Posted: April 08, 2021, 12:01 PM Post
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Octobercrew said:
Wong back in there and Huria still bumming in the 2 hole.

Wong
Huria
Yeli
Shaw
JBJ
Cain
Narvaez
Urias
Burnes


Wainwright has pretty low velocity, this isn't a bad opportunity for Hiura to right things. Wainwright relies pretty heavily on a pretty nasty(and slow) curve, which is something Hiura is good at hitting when he's right. Here's hoping...


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#19

Posted: April 08, 2021, 12:06 PM Post
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Doesnt Wainwright throw about as hard as Hendricks? How did that work out for Kest yesterday.

He's gotta figure it out, we need his bat!


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Offline  Re: 2021-04-08: Brewers (Burnes) at Cardinals (Wainwright) 3:15 PM CDT
#20

Posted: April 08, 2021, 12:18 PM Post
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Lineups are now included in the opening post. Goldschmidt is reportedly out of the lineup due a lower back issue.


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