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Drew Rasmussen is a Free Agent

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Offline  Re: Drew Rasmussen is a Free Agent
#21

Posted: July 14, 2017, 10:58 AM Post
Posts: 394
Conlon is ranked below Bullock, Ward, and Castillo by BA without knowing any health issues. Even if the Brewers have him legitimately as a 4th round talent before medicals given the expected odds of making the majors, that’s probably not much more than 1-2 million in value. Im all for the Brewers signing him, but its unlikely to be a savvy value play unless he is the winning lottery ticket.


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Offline  Re: Drew Rasmussen is a Free Agent
#22

Posted: July 14, 2017, 3:43 PM Post
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reillymcshane said:
In 1996, everyone's favorite person, Scott Boros, found a loophole in the draft rules that allowed four 1st round picks to become free agents.

The rules stipulated that draft picks had to be made a written offer within 15 days of the draft. The crazy thing was that most of the teams didn't realize this rule was in effect. A bunch of teams hadn't followed the rule. In the end, four players were declared free agents, including San Diego State first baseman Travis Lee (No. 2, Twins), Texas high school righthander John Patterson (No. 5, Expos) and Pennsylvania high school righthander Matt White (No. 7, Giants) Florida high school lefthander Bobby Seay (No. 12, White Sox).

They were the first U.S. players ever to gain free agency in the summer in which they were drafted.

Tampa signed White for a $10.2 million bonus and Seay for $3 million, while the Diamondbacks signed Lee for $10 million and Patterson for $6.075 million.

The top pick in the draft in 1996 - Kirk Bensen - got a $2M signing bonus.

BA has a good write up on this and other draft hold outs here: http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/to ... FHH0kP7.99

Here's the interesting part about those four.

Lee (#2 overall) - career bWAR 7.2, of which half of that came from one season (2003, age 28)
Patterson (#5 overall) - career bWAR 5.5, of which 85% came from one season (2005, age 27)
Seay (#12 overall) - career bWAR 3.0, of which almost half came from one season (2007, age 29)
White - never made the majors (Boras was worth every penny White paid him)

Only three of the four made the majors, and those three basically only had one good season each. For the $10M paid to White and Lee and the $6M paid to Patterson, teams probably would have been better off spending that money on a free agent.

One of our favorite whipping boys, Braden Looper, was the #3 overall pick that same year and had a higher career bWAR than any of those four.


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