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ZiPS projections

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Offline  ZiPS projections
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Posted: January 15, 2008, 4:55 AM Post
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Brewerfan Jedi
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I figured... might as well start a thread to post when BBTF puts out the newest ZiPS projections. Worst-case scenario, I have a place where the more recent ones are all catalogged - but I'd be others are/would be curious, too. Sorry in advance about the formatting - anyone have any tips for easy ways (short of creating a table & chicken-pecking entering in each value) to format?

Most recent is the Boston Red Sox:

 Name P Age AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS
David Ortiz* dh 32 .297 .400 .593 153 573 111 170 38 0 44 138 97 121 1 0
Manny Ramirez lf 36 .278 .381 .493 123 442 75 123 26 0 23 98 71 98 0 1
AVERAGE 1B ------------- 1b ---- .290 .367 .489 ------------------------------------------
Kevin Youkilis 1b 29 .286 .388 .444 134 475 79 136 35 2 12 69 71 100 3 2
AVERAGE LF ------------- lf ---- .289 .358 .469 ------------------------------------------
AVERAGE RF ------------- rf ---- .288 .355 .471 ------------------------------------------
AVERAGE 3B ------------- 3b ---- .285 .352 .462 ------------------------------------------
Dustin Pedroia 2b 24 .292 .359 .431 150 548 75 160 44 1 10 62 51 43 3 1
Jacoby Ellsbury* cf 24 .297 .349 .392 134 549 87 163 34 3 4 58 37 72 43 6
AVERAGE CF ------------- cf ---- .283 .345 .436 ------------------------------------------
J.D. Drew* rf 32 .259 .362 .412 104 352 59 91 22 1 10 60 56 77 1 2
AVERAGE 2B ------------- 2b ---- .287 .346 .427 ------------------------------------------
Chris Carter* 1b 25 .278 .339 .438 143 553 56 154 33 2 17 78 50 71 4 2
Jason Varitek# c 36 .249 .350 .408 112 385 50 96 20 1 13 63 56 102 2 1
Eric Hinske* rf 30 .248 .335 .437 104 286 44 71 20 2 10 41 35 82 3 1
Mike Lowell 3b 34 .272 .333 .429 150 552 70 150 40 1 15 64 50 63 1 0
AVERAGE SS ------------- ss ---- .285 .339 .418 ------------------------------------------
Brandon Moss* rf 24 .264 .334 .424 152 550 58 145 51 2 11 72 56 147 4 4
Coco Crisp# cf 28 .271 .333 .410 138 527 82 143 33 5 10 65 48 79 22 5
Jon Van Every* cf 28 .253 .322 .448 118 384 37 97 27 3 14 53 36 147 6 6
Jeff Bailey 1b 29 .247 .334 .399 103 348 37 86 22 2 9 50 38 85 3 3
Jed Lowrie# ss 24 .253 .326 .406 136 522 54 132 47 6 7 58 55 96 3 3
Julio Lugo ss 32 .267 .335 .382 142 539 77 144 35 3 7 62 52 96 29 8
AVERAGE C --------------- c ---- .270 .329 .414 ------------------------------------------
Tony Granadillo# 2b 23 .259 .322 .389 132 506 72 131 38 2 8 54 37 84 2 1
Keith Ginter 3b 32 .235 .326 .381 90 315 32 74 20 1 8 48 36 59 2 0
Josh Reddick* rf 21 .266 .305 .433 112 448 43 119 20 2 17 60 24 68 6 7
George Kottaras* c 25 .243 .316 .389 112 375 35 91 34 0 7 43 39 101 1 1
Bobby Kielty# lf 31 .255 .325 .362 75 235 30 60 13 0 4 34 24 56 0 0
Bobby Scales# 2b 30 .248 .318 .381 126 423 45 105 26 3 8 49 40 107 9 3
Doug Mirabelli c 37 .246 .318 .355 88 276 35 68 15 0 5 36 29 65 1 0
John Barnes sp 32 .270 .310 .382 89 296 32 80 18 0 5 32 16 26 3 3
Junior Spivey 2b 33 .231 .327 .354 58 195 24 45 12 0 4 22 25 52 6 3
Joey Thurston* 2b 28 .264 .316 .377 124 435 51 115 28 3 5 48 27 57 10 10
Gil Velazquez ss 28 .256 .306 .334 101 293 39 75 16 2 1 27 19 57 3 1
Dusty Brown c 25 .235 .282 .371 96 345 33 81 24 1 7 39 21 87 1 0
Alex Cora* 2b 32 .241 .311 .330 80 203 27 49 8 2 2 21 13 23 4 2
Chad Spann 3b 24 .235 .289 .364 123 439 37 103 28 1 9 45 30 128 1 4
Andrew Pinckney# 3b 26 .230 .277 .375 122 456 46 105 32 2 10 52 26 111 3 5
Joe McEwing 2b 35 .245 .289 .338 89 302 28 74 17 1 3 31 15 59 5 4
John Otness c 26 .244 .281 .326 95 344 29 84 20 1 2 29 13 42 1 1
Royce Clayton ss 38 .236 .286 .311 94 305 32 72 20 0 1 28 20 70 5 2
Kevin Cash c 30 .188 .266 .307 73 218 19 41 11 0 5 22 21 69 0 1
Argenis Diaz ss 21 .225 .275 .299 113 479 50 108 28 2 1 34 29 121 5 8

* - Bats Left
# = Switch-Hitter

Player Spotlight - Dustin Pedroia
Name AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+ DR
Optimistic (15%) .314 .388 .481 156 570 92 179 49 2 14 90 61 37 7 0 122 7
Mean .292 .359 .431 150 548 76 160 44 1 10 62 51 43 3 1 102 3
Pessimistic (15%) .266 .324 .362 131 478 55 127 31 0 5 52 39 43 1 2 76 -1

Top Near-Age Offensive Comps: Ron Hunt, Billy Herman, Newt Hoenikker

Player Spotlight - Jacoby Ellsbury
Name AVG OBP SLG G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB K SB CS OPS+ DR
Optimistic (15%) .327 .386 .451 151 618 116 202 44 6 7 83 50 71 60 5 115 8
Mean .297 .349 .392 134 549 87 163 34 3 4 58 37 72 43 6 91 5
Pessimistic (15%) .276 .317 .348 115 471 63 130 26 1 2 46 25 72 30 6 71 1

Top Near-Age Offensive Comps: Richie Ashburn, Vada Pinson

Name Age ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K
Jon Papelbon 27 1.57 5 0 61 0 63.0 41 11 4 15 87
Hideki Okajima* 32 3.09 4 1 63 0 64.0 56 22 7 18 65
Josh Beckett 28 3.77 16 9 30 30 191.0 181 80 21 54 172
Manny Delcarmen 26 3.77 4 2 63 0 74.0 69 31 5 36 68
Mike Timlin 42 3.78 4 3 68 0 69.0 72 29 6 19 40
Daisuke Matsuzaka 27 3.95 15 10 29 28 196.0 189 86 22 60 177
Lee Gronkiewicz 29 4.07 4 3 55 1 73.0 74 33 11 15 57
Javier Lopez* 30 4.19 3 2 72 0 58.0 60 27 3 27 36
Brendan Donnelly 36 4.20 3 3 48 0 45.0 45 21 5 16 36
Curt Schilling 41 4.25 11 10 28 28 178.0 191 84 24 26 146
Bryan Corey 34 4.32 6 4 60 0 73.0 75 35 8 26 55
LEAGUEA AVERAGE RELIEVER ----- 4.42 -----------------------------------------------
Craig Breslow* 27 4.44 4 3 55 0 77.0 79 38 8 33 58
Clay Buchholz 23 4.47 9 8 28 27 135.0 134 67 20 53 120
Kyle Snyder 30 4.50 3 3 57 0 66.0 70 33 7 23 48
Tim Wakefield 41 4.62 13 13 30 30 185.0 192 95 26 65 117
Justin Masterson 23 4.68 7 7 22 16 102.0 115 53 11 34 51
Julian Tavarez 35 4.71 6 6 53 12 109.0 121 57 11 41 64
LEAGUE AVERAGE STARTER ------- 4.81 -----------------------------------------------
Jon Lester* 24 4.93 8 8 30 29 148.0 158 81 18 75 100
Craig Hansen 24 5.03 5 3 49 2 68.0 72 38 5 42 45
Devern Hansack 30 5.31 7 9 27 20 127.0 143 75 23 45 84
Michael Bowden 21 5.50 7 9 27 27 131.0 151 80 22 52 80
Mike Burns 29 5.53 3 5 42 8 83.0 99 51 14 24 44
Michael Tejera* 31 5.65 5 7 33 14 110.0 129 69 17 45 52
Jon Switzer* 28 5.87 2 4 44 5 69.0 76 45 7 27 37
David Pauley 25 6.02 5 8 26 26 151.0 186 101 28 53 75
Abe Alvarez* 25 6.02 5 10 26 21 121.0 146 81 22 50 61
Edgar Martinez 26 6.05 2 5 47 0 64.0 74 43 14 30 43
Kyle Jackson 25 6.81 3 9 46 0 74.0 81 56 15 66 62
Daniel Haigwood* 24 7.29 2 7 22 21 100.0 117 81 23 84 73
John Barnes 32 8.14 3 9 19 16 84.0 100 76 17 105 47

* - Throws Left

Player Spotlight - Josh Beckett
 ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K ERA+
Optimistic (15%) 3.08 21 7 33 33 216 186 74 20 51 200 152
Mean 3.77 16 9 30 30 191 181 80 21 54 172 124
Pessimistic (15%) 4.65 10 10 24 24 151 157 78 21 52 125 101

Top Near-Age Comps: Bill Monboquette, Jack McDowell

Player Spotlight - Daisuke Matsuzaka
 ERA W L G GS INN H ER HR BB K ERA+
Optimistic (15%) 3.28 18 9 32 31 222 196 81 21 58 208 143
Mean 3.95 15 10 29 28 196 189 86 22 60 177 119
Pessimistic (15%) 4.91 10 11 24 23 154 164 84 22 57 129 96

Top Near-Age Comps: Andy Benes, Bill Singer





EDIT: Fixed. Remember the < code > tags next time. - b19


Last edited by brewers19 on January 16, 2008, 5:20 AM, edited 1 time in total.

Stearns Brewing Co.: Sustainability from farm to plate


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Offline  ZiPS projections
#2

Posted: January 15, 2008, 4:56 AM Post
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Brewerfan Jedi
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Posts: 20430
Eegads that's ugly - sorry, ya'll.

Stearns Brewing Co.: Sustainability from farm to plate


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Offline  ZiPS projections
#3

Posted: January 16, 2008, 4:07 AM Post
Posts: 9297
Brewer' 2008 offensive ZiPS:

http://rluzinski.blogspot.com/2008/01/2008-brewer-offensive-zips-projections.html


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