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BPro projected records (Latest: THT predicts Brewers finish 1st)

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Offline  BPro projected records (Latest: THT predicts Brewers finish 1st)
#21

Posted: February 16, 2008, 5:59 AM Post
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Well they project Fukudome to have a .400 OBP and .900 SLG and Soto to be one of the best C's in the NL. I don't think either of those will actually happen.

twobrewers, I agree with you but it is really a new thing. This division has been terrible for a while now but it has added some of the best young talent in the game in it over the last few years and has some of the best young talent still coming. These things go in cycles and I think the NL Central is on the upswing right now.


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Offline  BPro projected records (Latest: THT predicts Brewers finish 1st)
#22

Posted: February 16, 2008, 6:46 AM Post
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Ennder meant a .900 OPS for Fukudome, obv. not SLG.

The things I think will happen IRL and not the way it went in the sim for Cubs/Brewers: Milwaukee's BA & OBP will be hard pressed to be as poor as they're projected... CHN will have a really hard time SLG the ball that much better, and in general, improving the offense by ~ 100 runs (as mentioned already).

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Offline  BPro projected records (Latest: THT predicts Brewers finish 1st)
#23

Posted: February 16, 2008, 7:25 AM Post
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Ennder said:
Well they project Fukudome to have a .400 OBP and .900 SLG
1.300 OPS? We're screwed. Image

Cards' fans wear jorts.


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Offline  BPro projected records (Latest: THT predicts Brewers finish 1st)
#24

Posted: February 16, 2008, 8:04 AM Post
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Oops, yeah I meant .900 OPS. heh.


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Offline  BPro projected records (Latest: THT predicts Brewers finish 1st)
#25

Posted: February 16, 2008, 9:35 AM Post
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i agree with his these projections for AL west and NL west only.

AL east goes to boston with superior pitching in the toughest division in baseball. bos-98 wins ny-91 tor-88 tb-80
AL central to detroit in a runaway. det-100 cle-88
NL east- philly is for real. mets-96 phi-92 atl-84
NL central-most improved record by division in all of MLB (reds and pirates less boring than last year) AND no wild card from this division.
brewers- 88 cubs-84 astros-82 cinncy- 81 pitts-79 cards-68

so--put it in stone, this a guaranteed lock--mortgage the farm. the brewers are 'flying high again'.

now for postseason projections.............


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Offline  BPro projected records (Latest: THT predicts Brewers finish 1st)
#26

Posted: February 16, 2008, 1:52 PM Post
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AL east goes to boston with superior pitching in the toughest division in baseball. bos-98 wins ny-91 tor-88 tb-80.

The Yanks' pitching will be vastly improved from last year. Hughes & Kennedy should make the rotation from ST, allowing Joba Chamberlin to start the season in the 'pen. Early rotation: Wang, Pettite, Hughes, Mussina, Kennedy... with Joba waiting to join if Moose's 2007 WOAHs return, or at the first injury. I honestly think it's an open debate as to whether Bos or NYY has the better SP - especially if Schilling misses all or most of 2008.

I agree with you that Det. gets no love from the sim, but there's no way they win the AL Central that big, imo.

Stearns Brewing Co.: Sustainability from farm to plate


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Offline  BPro projected records (Latest: THT predicts Brewers finish 1st)
#27

Posted: February 16, 2008, 2:21 PM Post
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I don't think the Tigers are really better than the Indians so I have no problem with the results. If Bonderman isn't healthy that is a pretty bad rotation and the bullpen is nothing amazing either. The lineup is good but there is a lot of regression that I expect to happen from last year so a lot of renteria/cabrera value will be used to offset the career years by guys like Ordonez and Polanco.


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Offline  BPro projected records (Latest: THT predicts Brewers finish 1st)
#28

Posted: February 18, 2008, 3:30 AM Post
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http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=762

They are updating this with strength of schedule adjustments. They also mentioned that this is after trades even when the players show up in the wrong depth chart. I also found this to be an interesting comment.

Note that the Cubs, who have probably the easiest schedule in baseball, are the only team to gain two wins


I never really thought about it but as the 'best' team in the weakest division and an easy interleague schedule the Cubs really do have an extremely easy schedule this year.


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Offline  BPro projected records (Latest: THT predicts Brewers finish 1st)
#29

Posted: March 05, 2008, 5:01 AM Post
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Contrary to PECOTA, THT's projections have the Brewers winning the NL Central with 88 wins, 1 game ahead of the Cubs. Thought I should add that here.


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